(anonymous) 0x01eebb…22c603
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
396
lifetime
Volume
$509
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$45
26 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-22 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% $-5
Other
31% — —
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -24 $-20 70¢ $-17 +$3 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 06-14 22:11
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-03 09:31
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 07-18 09:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6 $1 23¢ $1 +$0 07-16 03:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +36 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-16 02:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-11 06:33
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +14 $2 4¢ $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24