(anonymous) 0x01eebb…22c603
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
296
lifetime
Volume
$395
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-02 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
60% 33% $-5
Other
26% — —
Crypto
12% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -13 $-12 86¢ $-12 +$0 06-17 05:43
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$1 06-28 03:42
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-30 04:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 07-02 23:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-11 06:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +14 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-15 23:29
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +3 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-30 04:20