Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$45
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-13 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$0
Other
35%
Crypto
7%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +61 $17 28¢ $17 $-0 05-05 23:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $2 68¢ $5 +$3 05-06 02:39
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 05-07 12:20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 05-07 07:10
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +4 $2 55¢ $2 +$0 05-13 00:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-05 23:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-06 20:51
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 05-12 19:37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? No +10 $-1 $1 +$2 05-13 00:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +1 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 05-07 19:55
Major US official out by May 31? Yes +2 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 05-06 20:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +41 $4 $1 $-3 05-07 21:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-0 05-08 10:06