Realized P&L
+$47
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
376
Trades
1,782
lifetime
Volume
$2.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$52
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
61% 61% +$127
Other
28% 56% -$106
Crypto
7% 50% +$52
Sports
4% 38% -$27
Tech
0% 80% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 06-19 19:02
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +9 $6 97¢ $8 +$2 06-03 02:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $4 44¢ $5 +$1 06-11 16:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 05-28 04:06
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-03 05:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 08-02 02:10
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 06-11 19:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 07-26 08:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 62¢ $2 $0 06-10 19:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 12¢ $2 -$4 05-26 05:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-22 00:21
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 64¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 20¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +14 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +32 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-18 00:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21