Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
356
lifetime
Volume
$468
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-12 09:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61%
Crypto
31%
Other
8%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +49 $8 20¢ $10 +$2 06-12 13:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 16¢ $6 +$0 06-11 19:24
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-10 14:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +5 $1 54¢ $3 +$2 06-11 12:33
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 06-04 03:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 06-12 08:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +3 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 06-12 08:14
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 05-28 12:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-09 00:19
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-11 16:13
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-12 08:23
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 05-28 12:19
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +10 $3 $0 $-3 06-04 06:20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-01 07:27