(anonymous) 0x8242a0…f60f3c
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,620
lifetime
Volume
$3.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$84
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 07-22 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
68% 57% $-4
Other
26% 100% +$0
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -66 $-55 70¢ $-47 +$9 07-20 14:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-11 19:07
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 06-14 22:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $3 18¢ $3 $-1 07-03 09:31
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 07-16 22:05
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +16 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 $-0 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54