(anonymous) 0x8242a0…f60f3c
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Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,922
lifetime
Volume
$2.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-11 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
69% 57% $-4
Other
23% 100% +$0
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +12 $11 94¢ $11 $-0 06-11 02:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 68¢ $8 $-0 06-09 00:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +18 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 06-11 09:45
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 06-10 14:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-07 21:06
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $-0 05-28 04:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-08 22:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-03 22:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 27¢ $1 $-0 06-08 10:16
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +16 $2 3¢ $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-04 03:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +3 $1 13¢ $0 $-1 06-01 07:27