Realized P&L
-$117
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
395
Trades
2,914
lifetime
Volume
$4.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$64
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Politics
67% 58% +$33
Other
26% 58% -$211
Crypto
5% 29% +$57
Sports
1% 43% -$4
Tech
0% 89% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -31 -$32 83¢ $-25 +$7 08-02 02:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +6 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 05-28 04:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $7 16¢ $4 -$3 07-26 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$1 05-02 04:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 05-14 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-13 01:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 06-11 19:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +22 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 05-17 22:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +8 $5 20¢ $2 -$3 07-11 18:49
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 10¢ $2 -$4 05-26 05:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $0 17¢ $-1 -$1 08-03 12:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-18 00:27
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $2 14¢ $0 -$2 05-07 22:23
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 05-12 09:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-02 00:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24