(anonymous) 0x8242a0…f60f3c
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$33
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$37
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 02:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88% — —
Other
9% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +95 $26 26¢ $25 $-1 05-05 23:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +625 $3 1¢ $8 +$5 05-06 01:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-05 23:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 05-06 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +12 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 05-05 23:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 $-1 05-05 21:35