Realized P&L
-$121
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
399
Trades
2,914
lifetime
Volume
$4.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$61
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Politics
67% 57% +$28
Other
26% 58% -$211
Crypto
5% 29% +$57
Sports
1% 43% -$4
Tech
0% 89% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -31 -$32 94¢ $-29 +$4 08-02 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 05-02 04:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 05-14 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 05-13 01:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $7 11¢ $3 -$4 07-26 08:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +22 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 05-17 22:02
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 08-02 06:12
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-04 21:21
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-15 13:27
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +8 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 07-11 18:49
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 05-26 05:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 05:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +11 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:25
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-11 19:07
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 08-03 12:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $2 13¢ $0 -$2 05-07 22:23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 06-24 16:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-15 18:20