Realized P&L (90d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
41.8%
Resolved (90d)
21
Trades (90d)
12
2,914 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$21
$4.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$69
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
67% 57% +$26
Other
26% 58% -$211
Crypto
5% 29% +$57
Sports
1% 43% -$4
Tech
0% 89% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -31 -$32 90¢ $-27 +$5 08-02 02:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +6 $4 99¢ $6 +$2 05-28 04:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 05-02 04:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 05-14 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-13 01:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $7 12¢ $3 -$4 07-26 08:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +22 $10 12¢ $3 -$7 05-17 22:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +8 $5 21¢ $2 -$3 07-11 18:49
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 08-02 06:12
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $2 $0 07-18 09:24
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-04 21:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-15 13:27
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 05-26 05:36
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 05-07 22:23
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +11 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $0 11¢ $-1 $0 08-03 12:05
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 05:56
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-11 19:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24