Realized P&L (30d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
18.2%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
0
2,914 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$4.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$68
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Politics
67% 57% +$26
Other
26% 58% -$211
Crypto
5% 29% +$57
Sports
1% 43% -$4
Tech
0% 89% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -31 -$32 88¢ $-27 +$5 08-02 02:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +6 $4 99¢ $6 +$2 05-28 04:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 05-02 04:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 05-14 05:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $7 12¢ $3 -$3 07-26 08:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-13 01:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +22 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 05-17 22:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +8 $5 20¢ $2 -$3 07-11 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 52¢ $2 +$1 06-24 16:57
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No — +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-04 21:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 8¢ $1 -$5 05-26 05:36
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No — +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 05-15 13:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 06-11 19:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes — +11 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $0 12¢ $-1 $0 08-03 12:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 48¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 05:56
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $2 20¢ $1 -$1 05-07 22:23
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-15 18:20
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24