Realized P&L (7d)
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
10
10 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37
$37 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$37
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 06:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
83%
Other
14%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +95 $26 26¢ $24 $-2 05-05 23:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +625 $3 $7 +$4 05-06 01:49
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +3 $2 79¢ $2 +$0 05-06 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +29 $2 $2 $-0 05-06 06:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 05-06 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-05 23:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 21:35