(anonymous) 0x1bcb1b…1a435c
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
607
lifetime
Volume
$836
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 07-01 20:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% $-3
Other
29% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-27 11:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +24 $4 14¢ $3 $-1 06-11 15:29
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $-2 96¢ $1 +$3 07-01 01:02
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 61¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 5¢ $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +12 $3 3¢ $0 $-3 06-04 06:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $9 0¢ $0 $-9 06-21 15:11