Realized P&L
+$75
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
189
Trades
891
lifetime
Volume
$1.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Politics
60% 59% +$87
Other
31% 54% -$33
Crypto
7% 50% +$29
Sports
1% 33% -$6
Tech
0% 80% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$1 07-20 14:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 15¢ $2 -$1 07-26 08:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +24 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 06-11 15:29
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-12 16:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 18¢ $1 -$2 07-11 18:49
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-18 00:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +14 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 05-06 20:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21