Realized P&L
-$143
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved
67
Trades
296
lifetime
Volume
$507
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$11
10 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 08-24 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
56% 45% -$21
Other
29% 46% -$82
Crypto
14% 20% -$33
Sports
1% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $3 92¢ $4 +$1 07-20 14:26
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 08-02 06:12
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 07-18 09:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 07-26 08:33
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-29 05:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +14 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09