(anonymous) 0x5631e6…113553
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Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
39.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,096
lifetime
Volume
$1.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$64
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-01 01:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
45% 0% $-1
Other
42% — —
Crypto
12% 40% $-6
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-30 19:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-7 91¢ $-8 $-1 06-14 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $2 99¢ $6 +$5 06-28 03:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 14¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $-2 98¢ $1 +$3 07-01 01:02
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 27¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +19 $3 3¢ $1 $-2 06-04 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +17 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-17 10:01
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 2¢ $0 $-2 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $11 1¢ $0 $-11 06-21 15:11