(anonymous) 0x5631e6…113553
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Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
39.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
1,236
lifetime
Volume
$1.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-21 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
45% 0% $-1
Other
43% — —
Crypto
10% 40% $-6
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 15¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +20 $4 23¢ $5 +$0 07-16 22:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-7 44¢ $-4 +$3 06-14 15:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $4 19¢ $3 $-1 07-03 09:31
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 37¢ $2 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 07-20 14:26
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +43 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 07-09 05:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 23¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +19 $3 4¢ $1 $-2 06-04 06:20
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 $-0 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 34¢ $0 $-1 06-29 02:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54