Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
290
Trades
1,366
lifetime
Volume
$2.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 09-18 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
45% 55% +$99
Other
43% 53% -$95
Crypto
10% 42% -$5
Sports
1% 20% -$20
Tech
0% 86% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $5 20¢ $4 -$1 07-26 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-20 14:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 04-29 21:47
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 20¢ $1 -$2 07-11 18:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 -$3 12¢ $-1 +$2 05-20 21:21
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 07-26 15:04
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -2 -$1 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-20 21:21
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 17¢ $1 $0 07-14 10:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 -$5 12¢ $-1 +$4 06-14 15:54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +15 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-18 00:27
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54