Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,976
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$44
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-04 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$0
Other
38% 100% +$0
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +13 $9 100¢ $13 +$4 07-02 21:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $10 18¢ $7 $-2 07-03 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-7 100¢ $5 +$12 06-28 03:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-12 08:23
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 19¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 29¢ $1 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 $0 $-2 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $11 $0 $-11 06-21 15:11