Realized P&L
-$926
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
288
Trades
5,292
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$44
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
61% 60% +$398
Other
38% 56% -$1,280
Crypto
1% 44% -$10
Sports
1% 43% -$33
Tech
0% 80% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $15 82¢ $17 +$1 08-02 02:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $27 16¢ $16 -$10 07-26 08:33
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +7 $4 18¢ $1 -$3 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 25¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 07-15 23:39
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +38 $6 2¢ $1 -$6 09-18 00:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21