Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,130
lifetime
Volume
$4.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$52
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-02 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-1
Other
25% 100% +$0
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -29 $-26 86¢ $-25 +$0 06-17 05:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11 $8 100¢ $11 +$3 07-01 01:02
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-28 03:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 07-02 23:18
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +17 $2 $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 $0 $-2 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $10 $0 $-10 06-21 15:11