Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,276
lifetime
Volume
$4.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$74
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-22 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-1
Other
26% 100% +$0
Crypto
6%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -58 $-48 70¢ $-40 +$8 07-20 14:26
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 06-14 22:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +10 $2 23¢ $2 +$0 07-16 22:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-03 09:31
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +43 $1 $1 +$1 07-09 05:56
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-15 23:39
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +17 $2 $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 17¢ $0 $-1 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54