Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

220

Trades

898

lifetime

Volume

$880

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

14 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-25 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

53% 64% +$8

Crypto

24% 41% -$41

Other

22% 60% -$27

Sports

1% 43% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10	-$7	82¢	$-8	-$1	07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+5	$4	96¢	$5	+$1	05-02 04:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	05-12 16:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	07-03 09:31
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+5	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	07-18 09:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	+4	$1	18¢	$1	$0	09-07 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	+4	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	07-11 18:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	+10	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	09-07 00:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	05-27 10:41
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	07-02 23:18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	09-18 00:27
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+9	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-28 00:09
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+3	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	06-24 06:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-02 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	30	$62	99	74	+25	Yes	+$39	06-17 02:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	43	$47	122	114	+8	Yes	+$3	02-28 06:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$37	277	15	+262	No	+$5	06-03 13:23
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	23	$36	109	18	+91	Yes	+$2	03-04 02:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	17	$36	21	21	+0	No	+$4	03-15 16:14
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	17	$17	39	0	+39	Yes	-$17	02-28 06:13
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	17	$17	23	0	+23	Yes	+$6	02-23 01:25
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	19	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	03-01 00:15
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	16	$13	115	112	+2	No	-$3	02-26 11:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$13	34	28	+6	No	-$1	06-26 20:32
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	12	$12	14	0	+14	Yes	+$2	07-08 10:49
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	9	$12	15	5	+9	Yes	+$1	07-13 20:10
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	6	$12	9	7	+2	Yes	+$2	06-17 18:50
ethereum above 2100 on february 27	17	$11	64	53	+12	No	-$1	02-27 10:19
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	14	$11	8	5	+3	No	+$0	02-28 11:41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$11	92	14	+79	No	-$6	06-18 06:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$10	10	20	-10	open	—	08-03 12:05
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	14	$10	72	20	+52	Yes	-$10	02-26 09:14
will axiom be accused of insider trading	18	$10	9	5	+4	Yes	-$2	02-26 13:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	9	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-19 01:38
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	8	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	02-28 11:04
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	8	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	02-23 05:20
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	15	$8	109	100	+9	No	-$2	02-26 11:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	12	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-01 22:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$7	13	8	+5	No	-$4	06-20 21:49
will xrp reach 1pt8 in february 2026	9	$7	26	19	+7	No	-$1	02-27 20:43
will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	7	$7	10	0	+10	No	-$3	03-23 07:40
will company b be accused of insider trading	7	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	02-26 11:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-01 21:53
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	7	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	07-20 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 00:33:47	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf33c53…
09-25 00:05:39	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0dc87e…
09-18 00:27:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1c40b4…
09-18 00:14:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x853f72…
09-10 00:38:42	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcee078…
09-07 00:50:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4cc76f…
09-07 00:41:46	Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb16224…
09-07 00:40:21	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x908188…
09-06 00:05:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x05ec50…
08-19 00:27:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbb9607…
08-04 04:00:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x48cf44…
08-03 22:45:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb28784…
08-03 19:41:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x35e487…
08-03 12:05:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x4274aa…
07-30 04:00:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x605c44…
07-30 03:08:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4d6104…
07-30 02:48:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe26fa1…
07-30 02:29:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x519426…
07-28 00:55:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x08bb27…
07-28 00:22:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x007203…
07-28 00:09:06	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x046b6d…
07-27 23:32:55	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa2ad7e…
07-27 23:20:27	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by july 31 2026 20260726221135932	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x73e60f…
07-27 18:18:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09df05…
07-27 18:18:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03f4d5…
07-21 19:07:21	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf675ea…
07-21 18:57:39	Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6f1af2…
07-21 08:00:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x384358…
07-20 23:48:55	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf04f33…
07-20 23:38:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa60aee…
07-20 23:25:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72639c…
07-20 23:12:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1c9a6…
07-20 16:53:28	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfecc4d…
07-20 15:23:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaadde6…
07-20 14:26:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x483598…
07-19 23:15:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d1cdb…
07-19 23:14:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1380e7…
07-18 09:24:55	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x323d2b…
07-18 09:24:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xadfde4…
07-18 07:22:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06a476…
07-18 03:15:06	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xd459a6…
07-13 20:10:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4d5b9c…
07-13 20:06:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb0f651…
07-13 19:40:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5c2d5e…
07-13 19:35:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x90de55…
07-13 19:33:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b714f…
07-13 19:33:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc1691e…
07-13 10:53:19	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb811ba…
07-13 08:56:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xe92a53…
07-13 08:39:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb3adfe…
07-13 08:38:37	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1a2d1…
07-13 08:07:31	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3fb8ab…
07-13 03:51:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 13 2026 20260630182730891	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x18d810…
07-12 23:54:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xfeaa3d…
07-12 23:24:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf2f543…
07-12 22:29:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x25e9a3…
07-12 21:51:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3c64ce…
07-12 21:27:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa7dd7b…
07-12 18:56:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1f9dc0…
07-12 03:38:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x95da51…
07-12 03:30:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a204b…
07-12 01:18:08	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfa1951…
07-11 18:49:44	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6aef26…
07-11 18:49:37	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bcf5b…
07-11 01:46:13	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x42e499…
07-11 01:45:32	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc74e91…
07-10 15:41:46	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf53b57…
07-10 15:40:49	will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the us in 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x76bbef…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1386da…
07-09 05:56:22	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd0e8a5…
07-08 23:43:14	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe73c1a…
07-08 10:49:28	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x374d12…
07-08 08:48:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8400d2…
07-07 23:00:11	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4035c1…
07-07 22:59:52	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x135e65…
07-07 16:37:01	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80f17d…
07-07 16:36:38	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb774af…
07-07 16:36:38	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb709f4…
07-06 23:25:23	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9a014a…
07-06 23:04:44	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3c575…
07-06 23:04:26	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9799d…
07-06 22:45:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1dbd01…
07-06 21:41:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4147e7…
07-06 21:32:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xff400f…
07-06 21:28:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7f383e…
07-06 20:53:14	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdea4ac…
07-06 20:40:29	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x98e619…
07-06 20:33:41	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1e4ca…
07-06 20:31:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf8ce78…
07-06 20:13:08	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1bfb21…
07-06 19:01:34	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x437535…
07-04 20:09:19	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc8074…
07-03 11:30:46	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x30f2e9…
07-03 09:31:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x00d84f…
07-03 09:02:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c70f4…
07-02 23:18:01	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0538e5…
07-02 21:11:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc4d99…
07-02 20:51:32	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 2	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3dea7a…
07-02 20:26:02	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98dcee…
07-02 20:11:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88d73a…