Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
898 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$880 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 09-25 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
53% 64% +$8
Crypto
24% 41% -$41
Other
22% 60% -$27
Sports
1% 43% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10 -$7 82¢ $-8 -$1 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 05-02 04:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-12 16:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $0 07-03 09:31
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 20¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 05-27 10:41
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-28 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-02 00:24
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-18 00:27