(anonymous) 0x38266d…002bc7
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,020
lifetime
Volume
$4.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$342
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-30 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
52% 67% $-1
Other
42% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +111 $72 100¢ $111 +$39 06-19 21:00
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $54 100¢ $55 +$1 06-30 17:57
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$1 06-21 20:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -43 $-38 86¢ $-37 +$1 06-18 19:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -16 $-15 100¢ $-16 $-1 06-18 03:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-15 86¢ $-15 +$0 06-17 05:43
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +14 $9 81¢ $11 +$2 06-30 04:11
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-15 16:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 15¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-6 100¢ $4 +$10 06-28 03:42
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 06-28 21:01
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 05-30 05:39
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-11 16:13
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-10 14:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-13 07:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 $-0 06-12 00:32
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-31 15:03
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 31¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +7 $2 13¢ $1 $-1 06-15 00:25
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +11 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 11¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -42 $3 0¢ $-0 $-3 06-21 15:11