Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,179
lifetime
Volume
$5.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$205
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-21 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% $-1
Other
41%
Crypto
4%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -166 $-145 86¢ $-142 +$2 07-13 13:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16 $-15 72¢ $-11 +$4 07-20 14:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $13 18¢ $10 $-3 07-03 09:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 15¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 96¢ $3 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +6 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 $-0 06-12 00:32
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 29¢ $2 +$1 05-31 15:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +7 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 07-16 22:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 12¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +7 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-15 00:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 23¢ $1 $-1 07-14 10:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +3 $2 37¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-04 06:20
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $0 $-1 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +11 $2 $0 $-2 06-04 06:20