Realized P&L
-$112
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
461
Trades
2,262
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$114
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
52% 63% +$128
Other
42% 58% -$215
Crypto
3% 38% +$57
Sports
3% 31% -$83
Tech
0% 86% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +52 $31 100¢ $52 +$21 06-12 00:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $14 90¢ $22 +$8 07-20 14:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $33 12¢ $15 -$19 07-26 08:33
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$0 05-15 13:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +24 $11 8¢ $2 -$9 05-17 22:02
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 08-02 06:12
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +7 $5 18¢ $1 -$3 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 07-14 10:54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 05-26 05:36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +12 $6 8¢ $1 -$5 05-12 10:01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +39 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 06-16 00:34
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +46 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 05-27 23:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 06-11 19:24
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 05:56
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 06-15 00:25
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +14 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-15 18:20
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-27 05:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54