Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,535
lifetime
Volume
$2.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$27
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-01 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
88% 67% +$1
Politics
12%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 1174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11 $8 97¢ $11 +$3 07-01 01:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-27 11:20
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 61¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-19 18:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $8 $0 $-8 06-21 15:11