(anonymous) 0x52177c…0e8201
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,742
lifetime
Volume
$3.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$123
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-22 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% $-4
Other
36% 100% +$0
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -115 $-98 70¢ $-80 +$18 07-20 14:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +38 $7 22¢ $9 +$1 07-16 22:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $6 18¢ $5 $-1 07-03 09:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-11 19:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +38 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +16 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 17¢ $0 $-1 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No -2 $0 11¢ $-0 $-1 06-27 07:34