(anonymous) 0x52177c…0e8201
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,154
lifetime
Volume
$1.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$49
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 06-11 18:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% $-4
Other
39% 100% +$0
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +16 $15 92¢ $15 $-0 06-11 16:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +47 $8 20¢ $9 +$1 06-11 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$1 06-11 19:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 16¢ $5 +$0 06-11 19:07
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-10 14:35
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +7 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-08 22:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 06-03 22:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-07 21:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-28 04:06
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +16 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-01 07:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16