(anonymous) 0x52177c…0e8201
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,594
lifetime
Volume
$2.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$91
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-01 23:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% $-4
Other
36% 100% +$0
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -66 $-58 86¢ $-57 +$0 06-21 13:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11 $8 96¢ $11 +$3 07-01 01:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +31 $5 14¢ $4 $-1 06-11 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $-0 100¢ $4 +$4 06-28 03:42
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 5¢ $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +16 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No -2 $0 6¢ $-0 $-0 06-27 07:34
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-08 10:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-30 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $10 0¢ $0 $-10 06-21 15:11