Realized P&L (30d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
41
41 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$89
$89 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$76
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-13 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64% 50% $-1
Other
31%
Sports
3%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +163 $45 28¢ $45 $-1 05-07 22:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +6 $4 78¢ $5 +$0 05-07 07:09
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +7 $3 55¢ $4 +$1 05-13 00:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +6 $2 58¢ $4 +$2 05-11 05:08
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 05-07 12:20
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 05-11 02:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 05-06 02:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-11 00:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 05-08 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-05 23:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 05-10 01:00
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-11 04:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-06 20:51
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 05-13 06:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? No +10 $-1 $1 +$2 05-13 00:11
Major US official out by May 31? Yes +2 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 05-06 20:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +41 $4 $1 $-3 05-07 21:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 $-0 05-08 10:06
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +25 $1 $0 $-1 05-11 00:19