Realized P&L
-$8.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
7,909
Trades
142,301
lifetime
Volume
$3.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$3.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
75% 37% -$19,015
Politics
15% 51% +$10,347
Sports
7% 44% -$756
Crypto
2% 30% +$2,125
Tech
1% 26% -$1,789
Pop-Culture
0% 69% +$452
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 616 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1,122 -$181 72¢ $-806 -$625 11-01 21:47
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +402 $301 70¢ $279 -$22 10-31 05:47
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -1,190 -$296 23¢ $-277 +$20 10-29 13:43
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +805 $69 30¢ $246 +$176 11-02 16:02
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +451 $39 32¢ $142 +$103 11-03 13:46
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +295 $121 47¢ $139 +$18 10-30 04:05
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $98 45¢ $135 +$37 10-24 02:17
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +680 $117 18¢ $126 +$8 11-02 06:29
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $67 40¢ $118 +$52 10-15 16:48
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Jacksonville Dolphins +154 $80 60¢ $92 +$13 11-01 20:45
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $90 30¢ $92 +$2 09-23 15:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +321 $144 28¢ $90 -$54 11-02 00:20
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +278 $79 30¢ $85 +$6 11-02 05:40
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +294 $71 28¢ $82 +$12 10-19 13:38
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +182 $55 42¢ $76 +$21 10-23 21:02
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +288 $88 22¢ $62 -$26 10-25 04:35
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +300 $102 20¢ $62 -$41 10-01 10:29
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $45 18¢ $56 +$10 10-08 10:48
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -854 -$95 6¢ $-53 +$43 09-25 13:46
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $117 16¢ $48 -$69 08-23 09:32
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -796 -$51 6¢ $-47 +$5 06-01 08:26
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -1,749 -$208 3¢ $-46 +$161 10-17 10:48
Blue wave in 2026? No -474 -$83 8¢ $-40 +$42 11-02 17:30
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Paine Lions +78 $14 40¢ $31 +$17 10-30 16:20
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +227 $15 10¢ $23 +$8 09-22 18:01
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -301 -$26 6¢ $-19 +$7 07-17 20:30
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $25 19¢ $19 -$6 08-13 11:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -675 -$91 3¢ $-19 +$72 10-27 16:18
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -282 -$44 6¢ $-17 +$27 08-26 15:34
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +196 -$1 5¢ $10 +$11 10-28 14:28