Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
789
lifetime
Volume
$493
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-04 11:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
73%
Other
19%
Sports
7%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 07-01 06:17
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 07-03 09:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-15 13:56
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 18:20
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-24 16:57
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-24 06:24
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-26 03:16
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-15 00:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 07-02 23:17
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1 $4 $0 $-4 06-21 10:43