Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$933

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

424

Trades

3,800

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$66

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-07 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Politics

59% 57% -$637

Other

41% 53% -$270

Tech

0% 38% -$26

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-65	-$55	82¢	$-53	+$1	07-07 18:19
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+87	$20	6¢	$5	-$15	06-24 13:07
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+6	$4	66¢	$4	$0	06-24 16:58
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+35	$9	8¢	$3	-$6	07-04 11:53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	+4	$1	14¢	$1	-$1	06-17 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	253	$1.6K	3,293	3,273	+20	Yes	-$367	02-28 06:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	133	$1.2K	5,854	5,854	+0	No	+$0	04-03 04:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	73	$1.1K	1,158	755	+403	Yes	-$75	03-10 13:58
will iran strike israel on march 10	514	$997	121,214	120,982	+232	Yes	-$169	03-14 22:42
will axiom be accused of insider trading	64	$777	733	733	+0	Yes	-$84	02-26 14:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	88	$680	534	495	+40	Yes	+$238	03-01 07:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	85	$513	550	0	+550	Yes	+$37	03-04 10:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	80	$410	423	38	+385	Yes	+$18	03-07 11:53
us strikes iraq by february 28	11	$349	404	404	+0	Yes	+$155	03-03 22:26
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	26	$345	269	91	+178	No	-$1	03-19 00:15
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	30	$291	231	188	+43	No	-$6	04-16 01:20
will the bride opening weekend box office be between 12m and 14m	177	$284	284	0	+284	No	+$0	03-07 22:53
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	137	$283	421	416	+5	No	+$4	03-28 04:40
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	11	$277	158	158	+0	Yes	+$11	03-02 19:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	16	$275	155	155	+0	Yes	+$10	03-08 12:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	14	$222	177	177	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 08:02
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	16	$217	1,101	80	+1,020	Yes	-$57	03-20 09:17
trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	15	$206	208	1	+207	Yes	+$3	03-01 14:00
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be greater than 6pt5m	11	$204	205	0	+205	No	+$0	02-22 04:44
will iran strike israel on march 6	15	$204	206	0	+206	No	+$2	03-10 21:11
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	18	$191	198	246	-48	No	-$5	02-15 23:47
bitboy convicted	31	$182	256	60	+196	No	-$63	04-01 04:58
will trump say third term in march	156	$165	6,268	6,268	+0	No	+$7	04-03 03:59
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	28	$158	992	119	+873	Yes	-$26	04-21 23:28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	21	$158	143	143	+0	Yes	-$1	02-18 05:27
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	50	$157	2,737	3,475	-738	No	+$8	02-15 23:44
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	34	$157	1,045	235	+810	Yes	-$21	03-26 07:15
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	8	$140	122	44	+79	No	+$14	01-15 19:50
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	10	$139	116	30	+85	No	+$3	01-22 21:48
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	12	$136	138	96	+42	No	-$26	03-29 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 18:19:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x08885a…
07-07 18:11:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xd4ac8f…
07-07 17:42:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xa3752b…
07-07 17:39:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xa2b275…
07-07 16:39:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd0f988…
07-07 16:36:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x6b3054…
07-07 16:14:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x31f54b…
07-07 14:25:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x766acc…
07-07 13:59:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x21e7af…
07-07 08:27:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x0713ee…
07-07 06:58:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x5a5555…
07-07 06:05:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x36e26c…
07-07 05:44:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6ff1a4…
07-07 05:10:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xfb1161…
07-07 03:16:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd4638d…
07-07 03:03:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcfa8ed…
07-06 18:47:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x68c0db…
07-06 18:36:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd8ccc9…
07-06 18:33:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x4efbff…
07-06 15:24:29	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x239c00…
07-06 15:24:28	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	Yes	BUY	4,038	0¢	$20	0x13b049…
07-06 15:24:26	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0xede8ea…
07-06 12:38:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa73333…
07-06 10:54:08	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x417e9e…
07-06 10:39:44	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xf9cf50…
07-06 10:39:44	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8abd35…
07-06 10:39:43	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc73fdd…
07-06 09:59:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$0	0x8759e4…
07-06 09:24:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x0b0c2a…
07-06 09:16:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcb1418…
07-06 08:55:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf48713…
07-06 08:14:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x3d3a01…
07-06 06:10:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x5ad126…
07-06 04:39:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x8fcf64…
07-06 04:23:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xab9581…
07-06 03:14:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x2cf4cd…
07-06 02:40:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6bae22…
07-06 02:26:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6ef742…
07-06 02:16:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xdc0379…
07-05 23:56:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6b1768…
07-05 22:27:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x63de1a…
07-05 22:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe4619b…
07-05 22:06:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7b6e3f…
07-05 21:27:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x7768d3…
07-05 20:47:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x7253e5…
07-05 20:47:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xac3043…
07-04 20:11:49	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9b8a1b…
07-04 11:53:32	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x5fd04f…
07-04 06:21:49	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x864321…
07-03 14:13:19	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x50f142…
07-03 14:13:19	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3a0061…
06-28 13:49:08	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3dbde2…
06-28 13:46:20	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8dccc0…
06-28 13:40:58	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa858fd…
06-28 13:38:07	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa08aba…
06-28 13:35:19	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2aa019…
06-28 13:32:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa5a8fc…
06-28 13:29:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5fdf22…
06-28 13:26:46	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2c7a66…
06-28 13:26:44	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x86cec5…
06-28 13:23:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x568967…
06-28 13:23:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x75aec6…
06-28 13:19:56	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x751d6a…
06-28 13:19:55	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x61e67f…
06-28 13:17:04	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2e905c…
06-28 13:17:04	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0b95d6…
06-28 13:14:11	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6c7bb2…
06-28 13:11:22	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2d023a…
06-28 13:08:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x56d42b…
06-28 13:08:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xbf6e84…
06-28 13:08:26	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xee54c6…
06-28 13:05:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6c15bd…
06-28 13:02:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x389b28…
06-28 12:59:58	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x71b777…
06-28 12:59:58	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x260af6…
06-28 12:59:56	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd1bbdc…
06-28 12:57:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x26c7c8…
06-28 12:53:43	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6fb032…
06-28 12:53:43	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x21ee34…
06-28 12:53:41	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd6a78b…
06-28 12:53:40	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xec5630…
06-28 12:53:40	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xba1d70…
06-28 12:53:38	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3bfcad…
06-28 12:53:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7c956f…
06-28 12:53:37	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1f526c…
06-28 12:53:35	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9bfc4a…
06-28 12:53:35	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6b3ff8…
06-28 12:53:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xfa77a4…
06-28 12:53:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x378f71…
06-28 12:53:34	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x30c1f7…
06-28 12:53:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7c6a61…
06-28 12:53:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2e6c7d…
06-28 12:53:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x159918…
06-28 12:53:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd5c98d…
06-28 12:53:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xbc6197…
06-28 12:53:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb9caba…
06-28 12:53:28	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x841569…
06-28 12:53:26	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c6910…
06-28 12:53:25	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x098931…
06-24 16:58:20	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x90f899…