Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$253
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
857
lifetime
Volume
$163.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$3.41K
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 07-07 00:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
65%
Politics
24%
Sports
10%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1,579 $1,200 84¢ $1.3K +$134 06-28 17:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,901 $638 18¢ $508 $-130 07-03 15:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +452 $400 88¢ $400 +$0 07-05 20:45
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +350 $339 98¢ $343 +$3 06-28 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +1,789 $411 15¢ $259 $-152 06-21 16:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +512 $235 36¢ $182 $-54 06-22 11:16
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +179 $149 88¢ $159 +$10 06-29 02:07
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +260 $85 24¢ $63 $-23 06-25 08:15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +333 $80 16¢ $52 $-28 06-27 11:54
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +31 $31 99¢ $30 $-0 06-28 11:56
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +26 $18 69¢ $18 $-1 06-29 20:05
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +26 $17 60¢ $15 $-1 06-29 20:05
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +54 $14 23¢ $12 $-2 07-03 23:00
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +15 $11 80¢ $12 +$1 06-29 03:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +37 $11 20¢ $7 $-4 06-24 22:14
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +48 $11 14¢ $7 $-4 07-04 13:19
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +19 $10 35¢ $7 $-3 06-21 16:42