Realized P&L
-$216
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved
272
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$1.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$29
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-28 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
53% 32% +$71
Politics
21% 5% -$244
Crypto
14% 9% -$181
Sports
11% 57% +$138
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +168 $9 4¢ $7 -$2 08-04 00:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $10 16¢ $7 -$3 08-21 20:34
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +70 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 09-15 20:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +18 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 08-09 22:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +58 $11 3¢ $2 -$9 09-03 22:11
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 Yes +71 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 07-24 22:40
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +34 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-02 22:45
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 08-29 23:22
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +25 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-15 20:17
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-01 23:38
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +20 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-05 21:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +27 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-12 20:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 Yes +48 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 07-28 21:34
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +43 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-16 23:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-04 22:20