Likable-Laborer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$548

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$586

Open exposure

$4.06K

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-28 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

86% 57% +$10,926

Other

12% 14% -$3,567

Sports

2% 100% +$331

Crypto

0% 33% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4,448	$1,210	42¢	$1.9K	+$658	10-27 13:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,480	$1,086	66¢	$1.6K	+$559	10-27 13:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+1,839	$360	18¢	$322	-$38	05-25 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+909	$300	16¢	$150	-$150	09-22 07:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+2,653	$159	2¢	$66	-$93	10-28 07:51
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+2,764	$200	0¢	$8	-$192	10-27 21:10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+952	$200	0¢	$2	-$198	09-22 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$15.4K	12,340	12,340	+0	Yes	+$7,468	02-28 06:41
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$4.3K	3,651	3,651	-0	open	—	10-28 07:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$3.6K	8,403	0	+8,403	No	-$3,600	02-28 19:53
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$1.7K	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$686	05-24 15:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$1.2K	4,448	0	+4,448	open	—	10-27 13:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$1.1K	2,480	0	+2,480	open	—	10-27 13:30
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$1.0K	1,280	1,280	+0	No	+$38	03-04 11:36
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$876	750	750	+0	open	—	10-28 07:29
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$731	571	571	+0	Yes	+$331	07-19 02:09
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$675	803	803	+0	No	+$175	03-04 11:37
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$552	353	353	+0	Yes	+$152	06-08 04:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$500	1,576	0	+1,576	No	-$500	06-11 17:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$500	1,492	0	+1,492	Yes	+$992	03-02 06:41
will iran strike cyprus in march	4	$459	1,083	1,083	+0	No	+$59	03-04 08:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$401	3,281	628	+2,653	open	—	10-28 07:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$360	1,839	0	+1,839	open	—	05-25 16:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	909	0	+909	open	—	09-22 07:48
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$295	370	370	+0	No	-$65	03-01 20:46
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$288	360	360	+0	open	—	10-27 20:23
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$250	17,053	0	+17,053	No	-$250	06-25 22:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$200	952	0	+952	open	—	09-22 07:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$200	2,764	0	+2,764	open	—	10-27 21:10
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	1	$180	693	0	+693	Yes	+$513	07-08 17:46
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$143	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	10-28 07:30
will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	1	$125	1,472	0	+1,472	open	—	07-16 04:55
Portugal leading at halftime?	1	$120	545	0	+545	No	-$120	07-06 19:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$120	2,501	0	+2,501	No	+$2,381	05-24 09:51
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	1	$110	306	0	+306	No	-$110	07-06 20:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$100	2,308	0	+2,308	Yes	-$100	09-22 12:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$100	1,765	0	+1,765	No	-$100	07-08 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:51:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xa2e23f…
10-28 07:30:35	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$44	0x05aff6…
10-28 07:29:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	750	93¢	$696	0x1d71ed…
10-28 07:28:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,811	98¢	$1,783	0xca9ea2…
10-27 21:10:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,764	7¢	$200	0xac4fab…
10-27 20:23:03	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	360	33¢	$119	0x59cbb7…
10-27 20:13:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,110	79¢	$877	0xd4eb1d…
10-27 20:09:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	730	81¢	$591	0x0270f9…
10-27 19:57:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,800	33¢	$594	0x7bc04e…
10-27 17:12:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,110	27¢	$300	0xfb1d13…
10-27 16:48:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	341	27¢	$92	0x955bf7…
10-27 16:48:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x993626…
10-27 13:31:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xc47dee…
10-27 13:30:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	548	32¢	$176	0xb0996e…
10-25 08:37:02	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	360	47¢	$169	0xabe3c2…
10-25 08:00:15	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	750	24¢	$180	0x728d6c…
10-21 20:14:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	628	19¢	$121	0xef1bab…
10-19 21:33:28	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	8¢	$100	0x5d04dd…
10-04 20:29:05	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xe07276…
09-22 12:42:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,281	14¢	$180	0x137722…
09-22 12:41:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,308	4¢	$100	0x3d34bf…
09-22 07:49:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0xc066b6…
09-22 07:48:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0xdcc28e…
09-22 07:48:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,932	47¢	$910	0xc4dba4…
09-22 06:03:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,448	29¢	$1,000	0x9ef91f…
07-19 02:09:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	571	93¢	$531	0x8fce99…
07-16 04:58:19	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xefac0b…
07-16 04:55:05	will indonesia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,472	8¢	$125	0xc92204…
07-08 17:46:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	693	26¢	$180	0xdac15f…
07-08 17:38:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,765	6¢	$100	0x0e99d0…
07-06 20:13:16	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	306	36¢	$110	0x4e2a21…
07-06 19:05:59	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	545	22¢	$120	0x4c74a9…
06-25 22:54:08	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,575	0¢	$50	0x96cf15…
06-21 18:55:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xce0c84…
06-21 06:09:19	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x24b46a…
06-11 17:32:43	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,576	32¢	$500	0x4956bb…
06-08 04:09:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x59f6df…
06-07 20:10:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	353	57¢	$200	0x808aef…
05-27 16:44:40	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,478	4¢	$200	0xbe8e30…
05-25 16:07:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,839	20¢	$360	0xa205b9…
05-24 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x100bbc…
05-24 15:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb4abfd…
05-24 15:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xb9914e…
05-24 15:48:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	1,429	83¢	$1,186	0x6c396d…
05-24 09:53:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x75a4c7…
05-24 09:51:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	2,501	5¢	$120	0xbffab5…
03-19 05:56:09	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x0e1047…
03-18 16:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4a6d81…
03-04 11:37:21	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	803	53¢	$425	0x726161…
03-04 11:36:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,280	42¢	$538	0xb06bb6…
03-04 08:33:33	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	113	23¢	$26	0x723a8a…
03-04 08:32:45	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	504	22¢	$112	0xa2a553…
03-04 08:30:51	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	467	26¢	$121	0x88dd37…
03-02 06:41:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,492	34¢	$500	0x5235ba…
03-01 20:46:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	370	31¢	$115	0x6b6ba3…
03-01 16:20:53	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	370	49¢	$180	0x104dd8…
03-01 16:05:25	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	1,083	18¢	$200	0x84ac86…
03-01 10:32:09	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	803	31¢	$250	0xf30a98…
03-01 10:31:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,280	39¢	$500	0x99349f…
02-28 19:53:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	8,403	43¢	$3,600	0x97f2c7…
02-28 06:41:37	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,340	93¢	$11,454	0x7eff83…
02-27 15:41:03	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,340	32¢	$3,985	0x464ca4…