Tense-Hood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$1

Other

31% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	01-18 17:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-12 01:30
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-27 08:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-26 04:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-23 05:11
bitcoin above 82k on april 20	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 16:40
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-05 12:40
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 14:29
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-14 06:19
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 20:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-27 16:16
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-21 17:36
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	01-06 19:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 23:33
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 16:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 13:21
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-10 15:15
will orlando cruz win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	01-01 01:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-18 03:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-12 09:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 05:58
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-08 21:12
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-03 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:23
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-12 09:43
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-22 14:51
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 22:44
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-23 00:01
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-29 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:00:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8f4c84…
06-05 18:07:03	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3a574b…
06-01 13:57:14	Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x986cf4…
05-31 10:32:53	Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd82af4…
05-30 13:41:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc60846…
05-30 08:38:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x24ee44…
05-30 00:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x01221d…
05-29 19:43:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x462e9c…
05-29 07:28:43	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd8dfaf…
05-28 23:20:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc53534…
05-27 16:16:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdbe60d…
05-26 04:11:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5a2d00…
05-24 10:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7ff148…
05-23 05:11:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x45f16f…
05-22 17:39:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdef6b8…
05-22 01:34:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1c6bbe…
05-21 19:55:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x04ff40…
05-20 17:24:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4e8f9c…
05-20 01:30:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd15cd9…
05-19 13:21:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe80e77…
05-18 22:25:01	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7a105c…
05-18 03:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x57a605…
05-16 19:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x34a5dd…
05-14 05:22:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1f3e79…
05-12 09:55:25	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd647b6…
05-12 05:58:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x276471…
05-12 01:30:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x127887…
05-10 20:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xd5d5fd…
05-10 11:13:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x931085…
05-10 01:49:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x91f219…
05-08 21:12:17	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7e9666…
05-07 08:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x30e3d1…
05-05 13:13:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x08dae3…
05-01 01:19:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe50bf7…
04-30 14:29:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5ef895…
04-29 11:43:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc48c9c…
04-29 06:01:42	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x776c80…
04-27 08:19:02	Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5fea11…
04-26 13:49:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x54c8a4…
04-25 18:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8da835…
04-24 23:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x79df60…
04-24 14:58:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5e98b1…
04-23 22:44:26	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebe18a…
04-23 19:01:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd47af…
04-23 00:01:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8c6da8…
04-22 14:51:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc909f7…
04-22 01:09:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 22	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xda0dc1…
04-21 17:36:42	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe9c027…
04-20 16:42:12	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfb6120…
04-20 16:40:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x82b7e6…
04-19 08:32:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x54c075…
04-19 06:51:00	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8cda53…
04-17 20:42:08	will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x25fd16…
04-17 12:21:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc988dd…
04-16 14:29:52	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9f53a6…
04-15 10:15:12	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 15	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x0f5a08…
04-14 08:20:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x1cb6c7…
04-14 06:19:57	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xf3c1d7…
04-13 15:31:33	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 17c	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x834ef5…
04-13 09:58:47	highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 17c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x11829c…
04-12 12:51:23	highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 58forhigher	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x29ca16…
04-11 15:35:15	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x477d22…
04-05 03:24:51	highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 16c	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x898aab…
04-02 09:52:09	ethereum above 1900 on april 2	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x81cb39…
03-26 05:53:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x86a1b8…
03-08 19:31:17	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc427a8…
03-07 01:13:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9ee016…
03-03 01:55:47	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb7c358…
02-12 09:43:25	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfdf500…
02-10 15:15:25	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x24e638…
02-05 12:40:07	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcb6b81…
01-31 05:14:18	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e1c09…
01-23 04:01:42	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0507c3…
01-18 17:56:10	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x33cb7e…
01-15 01:36:34	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6ac681…
01-06 19:09:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe9ae75…
01-01 01:33:29	will orlando cruz win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9ee320…