Tense-Hood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

176

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$6

Other

44% 99% -$20

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No		+24	$24	100¢	$24	$0	10-31 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	01-18 17:56
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	07-14 07:25
bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	07-11 06:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-12 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	07-21 06:46
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-28 21:53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-21 23:51
bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	07-03 18:18
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-27 08:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-26 04:11
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-26 19:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-23 05:11
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-13 23:18
ethereum above 1500 on june 24 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	06-24 13:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	08-12 11:09
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	2	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	05-25 15:53
bitcoin above 82k on april 20	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-20 16:40
ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-02 22:16
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-05 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 18:30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-22 10:49
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-16 14:29
bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-30 17:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-02 22:54
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 165 189	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-14 06:19
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-17 20:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	10-07 10:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	10-17 08:32
ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	07-16 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-04 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:49:36	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb89e5a…
10-30 20:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x07b3f3…
10-25 21:46:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfc5cc9…
10-22 10:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe2350a…
10-20 20:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbe762a…
10-17 14:35:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x751a2a…
10-17 08:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3ad4d8…
10-13 08:23:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x37b2d6…
10-08 19:33:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd0004e…
10-07 10:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x100e3a…
10-07 00:33:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x139333…
10-03 05:40:38	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc11662…
10-01 11:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x49050a…
09-26 14:57:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x82256c…
09-25 12:44:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaaa256…
09-24 15:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc1c1bc…
09-21 23:41:39	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb440fe…
09-13 23:18:40	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3bf87d…
09-12 19:52:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0008e6…
09-06 21:28:54	Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x725b98…
09-05 03:38:48	Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xef319b…
09-04 15:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb7aaf2…
09-04 03:53:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa16e04…
08-30 10:22:16	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x720dfe…
08-30 06:55:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe401e2…
08-27 07:07:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1796ca…
08-22 18:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x18dc15…
08-22 09:27:33	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x23c2d3…
08-17 11:40:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2f22cf…
08-14 04:24:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x494cbf…
08-12 11:09:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x82e16b…
08-11 16:42:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x421689…
08-07 09:54:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x39c05b…
07-31 14:57:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd136a9…
07-31 10:14:27	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x03f6c5…
07-29 16:50:38	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3c749b…
07-28 21:53:50	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xdb166e…
07-26 19:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdcb7c5…
07-24 23:17:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x00b757…
07-24 21:28:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa6ad3a…
07-21 06:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xce9bd6…
07-17 04:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x766ece…
07-16 04:10:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x614d51…
07-14 13:38:53	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1bf13a…
07-14 10:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1b8d70…
07-14 07:25:04	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x20c0c4…
07-12 17:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8998e…
07-11 10:59:17	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x557c20…
07-11 06:16:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5164a8…
07-10 00:21:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x42d940…
07-06 02:54:43	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 5	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6db2a0…
07-05 05:55:14	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf837b8…
07-04 17:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8c6c19…
07-04 15:39:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x764d18…
07-04 01:44:40	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x16d862…
07-03 18:18:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xaae490…
07-02 22:16:07	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa5e9ff…
07-02 03:57:14	ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa6fd0e…
07-02 02:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2f9f19…
07-01 09:36:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5995e2…
07-01 08:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xf9a1ca…
06-30 17:06:14	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf054e7…
06-30 12:40:11	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8aec1b…
06-29 16:18:41	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc1f485…
06-24 22:09:44	ethereum above 1800 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4af0cb…
06-24 13:58:55	ethereum above 1500 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7425cb…
06-23 07:13:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9a7242…
06-22 11:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd13ae0…
06-21 23:12:56	ethereum above 1900 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1d4f55…
06-08 19:00:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8f4c84…
06-07 19:20:34	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xeefde6…
06-05 18:07:03	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3a574b…
06-02 12:11:46	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x2a5259…
06-02 01:53:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1102d0…
06-01 13:57:14	Will Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x986cf4…
05-31 19:14:28	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9031d4…
05-31 10:32:53	Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd82af4…
05-30 13:41:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc60846…
05-30 08:38:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x24ee44…
05-30 00:23:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x01221d…
05-29 19:43:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x462e9c…
05-29 07:28:43	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd8dfaf…
05-28 23:20:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc53534…
05-28 14:15:10	Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x034f62…
05-27 19:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6491e…
05-27 18:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd761c2…
05-27 16:16:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdbe60d…
05-26 21:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xda7dd2…
05-26 05:34:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe3ec90…
05-26 04:11:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5a2d00…
05-25 15:53:40	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdfce40…
05-25 05:43:56	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf3f2fa…
05-24 10:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7ff148…
05-24 04:44:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7489ab…
05-23 14:21:26	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc33e9f…
05-23 05:11:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x45f16f…
05-22 17:39:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdef6b8…
05-22 01:34:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1c6bbe…
05-21 23:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf04b34…
05-21 19:55:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x04ff40…