Cumbersome-Peen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

531

Trades

5,487

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-19 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% $-8

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No		+0	$0	95¢	$0	$-0	06-18 05:58
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No		+0	$0	96¢	$0	$-0	06-18 05:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771599600	4	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	02-20 15:12
btc updown 15m 1771768800	4	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	02-22 14:13
btc updown 15m 1771895700	4	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	02-24 01:24
btc updown 15m 1772897400	3	$31	22	11	+11	open	—	03-07 15:42
btc updown 15m 1773322200	4	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	03-12 13:44
btc updown 15m 1772114400	4	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	02-26 14:13
btc updown 15m 1772886600	3	$30	22	11	+11	open	—	03-07 12:43
btc updown 15m 1770872400	3	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	02-12 05:12
btc updown 15m 1772193600	3	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	02-27 12:13
btc updown 15m 1773009000	3	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	03-08 22:43
btc updown 15m 1772117100	3	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	02-26 14:58
btc updown 15m 1772669700	3	$29	22	11	+11	open	—	03-05 00:28
btc updown 15m 1772520300	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	03-03 06:57
btc updown 15m 1771519500	3	$28	23	11	+12	open	—	02-19 16:57
btc updown 15m 1771849800	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	02-23 12:38
btc updown 15m 1771896600	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	02-24 01:43
btc updown 15m 1771880400	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	02-23 21:12
btc updown 15m 1773062100	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	03-09 13:28
btc updown 15m 1772046900	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	02-25 19:28
btc updown 15m 1772678700	3	$28	22	11	+11	open	—	03-05 02:58
btc updown 15m 1772352000	3	$28	23	11	+12	open	—	03-01 08:12
btc updown 15m 1771898400	3	$27	22	11	+11	open	—	02-24 02:13
btc updown 15m 1773008100	3	$25	17	11	+6	open	—	03-08 22:29
btc updown 15m 1771405200	3	$25	22	11	+11	open	—	02-18 09:13
btc updown 15m 1770897600	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-12 12:15
btc updown 15m 1773350100	2	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 21:25
btc updown 15m 1773300600	2	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 07:39
btc updown 15m 1771814700	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-23 02:55
btc updown 15m 1771830000	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-23 07:14
btc updown 15m 1771486200	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-19 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 13:42:59	btc updown 5m 1781876400	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8cc10a…
06-19 01:23:08	btc updown 5m 1781832000	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3ede84…
06-18 13:21:28	btc updown 5m 1781788800	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd0295f…
06-18 05:58:59	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa57da6…
06-18 05:58:59	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x381046…
06-18 05:49:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x488317…
06-18 05:49:26	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4ab24e…
06-18 01:13:04	btc updown 5m 1781745000	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa6b20d…
06-17 13:12:55	btc updown 5m 1781701800	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x27ac14…
06-17 01:09:17	btc updown 5m 1781658300	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe21840…
06-16 13:07:36	btc updown 5m 1781615100	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x96dd8e…
06-16 01:02:22	btc updown 5m 1781571600	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc95136…
06-15 13:02:16	btc updown 5m 1781528400	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9d8bd4…
06-14 12:53:21	btc updown 5m 1781441400	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3c4e3a…
06-14 00:53:12	btc updown 5m 1781398200	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc0127d…
06-13 12:46:58	btc updown 5m 1781354700	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3ce5c2…
06-13 00:43:22	btc updown 5m 1781311200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf55a9e…
06-12 12:43:03	btc updown 5m 1781268000	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcde8f3…
06-12 00:34:19	btc updown 5m 1781224200	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbb8d70…
06-11 12:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781181000	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x40725c…
06-11 00:23:13	btc updown 5m 1781137200	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdefc6b…
06-10 12:18:24	btc updown 5m 1781093700	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x577853…
06-10 00:16:58	btc updown 5m 1781050500	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2cdd66…
06-09 12:16:57	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x816688…
06-09 00:16:21	btc updown 5m 1780964100	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x831b06…
06-08 12:15:25	btc updown 5m 1780920900	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x772dfc…
06-08 00:09:10	btc updown 5m 1780877100	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3562f6…
06-07 12:08:28	btc updown 5m 1780833900	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x24b5a9…
06-07 00:05:39	btc updown 5m 1780790700	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd4ec67…
06-06 11:53:33	btc updown 5m 1780746600	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x47fe52…
06-05 23:50:57	btc updown 5m 1780703400	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x52429a…
06-04 23:37:39	btc updown 5m 1780616100	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3bb91e…
06-04 11:37:03	btc updown 5m 1780572900	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4060bb…
06-03 23:32:00	btc updown 5m 1780529400	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5e0661…
06-03 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe5443e…
06-02 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2b6c8f…
06-02 11:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x46e54f…
06-01 23:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcc974f…
06-01 11:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8e81bd…
05-31 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcc19ec…
05-31 10:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe53663…
05-30 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdd28e2…
05-30 10:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x04749b…
05-29 22:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x00caf7…
05-28 21:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x12b402…
05-28 09:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2599e0…
05-27 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3439e0…
05-26 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaee190…
05-25 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb0a561…
05-25 08:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x07d0fe…
05-24 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4da1a1…
05-24 08:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4ed1a7…
05-23 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9cbc17…
05-23 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x44d601…
05-22 20:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb0e358…
05-16 12:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x15572a…
05-16 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf163d6…
05-16 11:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x793f12…
05-16 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe23faf…
05-16 11:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1838d2…
05-16 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x77d639…
05-16 10:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf57d7d…
05-16 10:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8bddfd…
05-16 10:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa07f43…
05-16 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x96eef2…
05-16 10:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8345d2…
05-16 10:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x84278a…
05-16 09:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x17ea7a…
05-16 09:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9466b8…
05-16 09:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x822294…
05-16 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x457f48…
05-16 09:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x67a241…
05-16 09:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa5b020…
05-16 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf87edb…
05-16 08:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xba8d7d…
05-16 08:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcd2cc1…
05-16 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb8534a…
05-16 07:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7d3249…
05-16 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x75d540…
05-16 07:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd721dc…
05-16 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x06c7af…
05-16 07:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x70d565…
05-16 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc2dc42…
05-16 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3dc1e2…
05-16 07:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf33353…
05-16 07:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x105ec3…
05-16 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x35a0d5…
05-16 06:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x855a5b…
05-16 06:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe9fd30…
05-16 06:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7f0b85…
05-16 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5bec84…
05-16 04:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7adb75…
05-16 04:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xed6bf3…
05-16 03:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xda26f5…
05-16 03:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9222db…
05-16 02:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x10615c…
05-16 02:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1f99f1…
05-16 01:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xecdfc4…
05-16 01:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7c5dab…
05-16 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x920d85…