Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved
49
Trades
822
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-23 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
49% 20% -$2
Politics
43% 20% -$1
Crypto
9% 14% $0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-20 16:58
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-21 01:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-12 13:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:08
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-21 11:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-20 16:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-20 17:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-20 16:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $0 82¢ $-1 -$1 10-13 12:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 10-16 04:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 09-29 12:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 10-22 12:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 10-15 00:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 10-21 13:18
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-23 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-06 11:11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +0 $0 87¢ $0 $0 10-07 11:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 10-23 22:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 09-29 12:28
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-07 05:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 74¢ $0 $0 10-15 19:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-30 14:56
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 10-20 17:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 09-17 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 09-15 13:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $0 10-20 12:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-07 00:21
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026 No +0 $0 54¢ $0 $0 10-16 05:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 09-25 11:57
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 56¢ $0 $0 10-02 21:54