Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

853

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

28 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-05 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

48% 30% -$3

Politics

43% 39% -$1

Crypto

8% 15% -$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (28) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$1	93¢	$1	$0	11-05 19:46
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	86¢	$1	$0	11-05 17:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	$0	11-05 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	$0	10-20 16:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	10-20 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1	$0	88¢	$-1	-$1	11-05 20:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+0	$1	92¢	$0	$0	11-05 19:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	09-29 12:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-07 11:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	$0	10-23 22:53
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	09-07 05:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	09-29 12:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	77¢	$0	$0	10-15 19:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	09-30 14:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-17 01:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+0	$0	72¢	$0	+$0	11-05 19:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	10-20 12:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	85¢	$0	$0	09-15 13:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	09-07 00:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	09-25 11:57
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	57¢	$0	$0	10-02 21:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	10-11 11:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	$0	64¢	$0	$0	11-05 14:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	46¢	$0	$0	10-12 18:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	10-14 19:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+0	$0	28¢	$0	$0	10-13 13:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	28¢	$0	+$0	10-04 12:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+0	$0	7¢	$0	+$0	10-16 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 20:32:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x42527c…
11-05 20:05:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x643627…
11-05 19:46:41	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x370307…
11-05 19:33:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xdba5b2…
11-05 19:31:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x2e99bc…
11-05 19:29:18	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0540a9…
11-05 19:19:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x4e3bf9…
11-05 18:37:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xf4aa40…
11-05 17:50:39	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfe0a6b…
11-05 17:49:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x08a165…
11-05 17:21:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x499ba9…
11-05 17:15:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xa81f4a…
11-05 16:43:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe2d417…
11-05 16:15:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x18a26e…
11-05 15:40:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x30a73d…
11-05 15:35:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd0ad86…
11-05 15:23:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x917a16…
11-05 14:55:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x2a2d0e…
11-05 14:33:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xbfd323…
11-05 13:51:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x57b580…
11-05 13:40:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xc4f3d7…
11-05 12:51:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x24cb9e…
11-05 11:30:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xe3d738…
11-05 09:30:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x18b7ad…
11-05 07:01:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xf19635…
11-03 23:36:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f7b63…
11-03 23:28:07	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x890c89…
11-03 23:26:51	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x20235b…
11-02 19:17:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbead62…
10-27 05:09:54	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf6162…
10-27 03:19:05	Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x44d500…
10-23 22:53:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xc5cf55…
10-23 10:59:24	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x062606…
10-23 09:20:12	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1278f7…
10-22 16:57:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x949564…
10-22 12:46:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9ff7e9…
10-21 13:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb65e23…
10-21 11:35:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1260f4…
10-21 10:39:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b7901…
10-21 09:36:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xec5ae7…
10-21 04:33:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb23c2c…
10-21 04:28:47	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x08feb3…
10-21 01:08:57	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe2bcf…
10-21 01:06:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x08db62…
10-20 22:51:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x91be9b…
10-20 21:51:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf5c37b…
10-20 17:39:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x845b56…
10-20 17:10:08	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x504fd8…
10-20 17:08:32	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x515b2f…
10-20 17:08:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xec32bf…
10-20 17:03:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1521a4…
10-20 16:58:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x23cc84…
10-20 16:57:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xae67cb…
10-20 16:57:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x64ab5a…
10-20 16:29:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x314100…
10-20 16:22:59	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa912f3…
10-20 15:54:47	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x542dcd…
10-20 15:53:27	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe6a42d…
10-20 15:11:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd58233…
10-20 14:17:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x59bb25…
10-20 14:12:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x464447…
10-20 14:12:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x38e68a…
10-20 13:54:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x50cf10…
10-20 13:53:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9d861b…
10-20 12:42:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x934467…
10-20 12:06:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc50483…
10-20 12:05:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xcae3eb…
10-20 11:35:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x872a38…
10-20 10:27:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x463e5c…
10-20 10:25:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x2f1f7d…
10-20 09:23:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x0d2cef…
10-20 09:22:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xa674d5…
10-20 08:37:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x26534a…
10-20 08:36:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90f87d…
10-20 07:45:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xad9cc7…
10-20 07:44:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x73f25e…
10-20 07:41:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3f9525…
10-20 07:02:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6073e1…
10-20 06:04:46	Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd658cc…
10-19 08:48:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb2c6de…
10-19 05:11:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6a86d2…
10-17 08:29:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4df48c…
10-17 03:56:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xde4626…
10-17 03:41:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2c0b5e…
10-16 15:54:37	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0b7bb8…
10-16 14:54:46	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt6 before 2027	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb8eac5…
10-16 13:21:01	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x4bb084…
10-16 09:21:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a5a88…
10-16 07:48:58	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x3fb301…
10-16 07:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcac591…
10-16 05:18:13	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xb7c191…
10-16 05:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa5d55f…
10-16 04:34:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x683622…
10-16 04:31:34	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdc7abf…
10-16 04:28:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd33268…
10-16 01:56:57	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6f334a…
10-16 01:55:36	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xede7ac…
10-16 01:47:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe5b736…
10-15 23:19:09	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt6 before 2027	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x57b4f3…
10-15 21:11:35	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf8786a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	107	$290	620	621	-1	open	—	11-05 20:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	52	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	11-05 19:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	52	$57	52	52	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 12:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	40	$44	28	27	+0	No	$0	09-15 02:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	32	$36	26	26	+0	No	$0	10-15 00:55
will wti reach 105 in september 2026	30	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-15 09:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	26	$29	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 00:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	24	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	09-29 12:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	18	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	10-10 07:07
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	18	$20	65	65	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 15:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	17	$19	10	11	-1	No	$0	10-21 11:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	16	$17	111	110	+0	Yes	$0	10-21 01:06
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	14	$16	17	17	+0	No	+$0	09-17 05:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	13	$14	10	8	+1	open	—	10-20 16:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	12	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	10-08 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	12	$13	8	8	+0	No	$0	09-16 12:28
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	12	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	10-20 12:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	09-29 12:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	10	$11	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 16:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	10	$11	7	6	+0	No	$0	09-06 11:11
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	10	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 21:09
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	8	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-02 20:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	10-12 18:30
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	8	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	10-16 05:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	8	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-21 13:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	8	$9	157	157	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 20:58
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	8	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 17:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	8	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	10-07 02:00
will xauusd dip to 3900 in october 2026	8	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 07:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	8	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-23 22:53