(anonymous) 0x7409f8…2540ce Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
11.7%
Resolved (30d)
36
Trades (30d)
275
828 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$303
$1.09K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$4
29 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 11-03 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
48% 28% -$3
Politics
43% 29% -$1
Crypto
8% 15% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $0 10-20 16:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-20 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $0 90¢ $-1 -$1 10-13 12:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 10-16 04:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 09-29 12:29
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-23 10:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 10-07 11:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 10-23 22:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-29 12:28
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-27 05:09
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-07 05:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 72¢ $0 $0 10-15 19:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-30 14:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-17 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 09-15 13:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 10-20 12:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-07 00:21
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 71¢ $0 $0 10-16 13:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 11-02 19:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-25 11:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 10-12 18:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-22 16:57
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 60¢ $0 $0 10-02 21:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 +$0 10-11 11:31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $0 45¢ $0 $0 10-13 13:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 10-14 19:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 +$0 10-04 12:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +0 $0 9¢ $0 +$0 10-16 15:54
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-20 17:10