(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$291
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
146
Trades
5,109
lifetime
Volume
$35.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$346
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-26 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
91% 58% -$320
Other
6% 67% -$26
Sports
3% 56% +$42
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +127 $113 86¢ $109 -$4 10-26 12:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$40 94¢ $-48 -$7 04-29 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $13 88¢ $39 +$26 06-10 11:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27 $15 66¢ $18 +$3 10-25 23:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +107 $32 15¢ $16 -$16 10-25 11:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +21 $9 66¢ $14 +$5 10-24 19:56
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 85¢ $14 +$1 06-24 23:52
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$13 76¢ $-13 +$0 06-24 23:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $12 82¢ $9 -$3 10-06 10:25
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +19 $11 46¢ $8 -$3 09-17 15:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$1 10-23 18:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-04 15:45
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8 $4 70¢ $6 +$2 10-13 06:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 12¢ $6 -$31 06-11 17:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 10-18 12:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +6 $4 66¢ $4 +$0 10-26 21:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-14 12:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +13 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 10-26 06:03
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +30 $3 12¢ $4 +$0 08-19 14:03
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-15 18:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $14 18¢ $3 -$12 08-28 07:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 10-06 17:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +32 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 10-21 18:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 05-09 23:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No -15 -$2 6¢ $-1 +$1 10-17 08:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 10-08 09:09