(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
24.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,177
lifetime
Volume
$22.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$121
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 07-07 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
97% 40% +$28
Other
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 58¢ $28 $-8 06-11 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $9 96¢ $20 +$11 05-28 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $10 42¢ $18 +$8 06-10 11:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +95 $24 16¢ $16 $-8 07-06 07:12
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 84¢ $14 +$1 06-24 23:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $13 86¢ $12 $-1 06-10 11:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 $-13 66¢ $-12 +$2 06-24 23:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 05-31 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-3 4¢ $-0 +$3 05-28 14:51