(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved (90d)
27
Trades (90d)
749
5,157 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.30K
$35.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$331
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-28 20:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
91% 58% -$320
Other
6% 63% -$31
Sports
3% 56% +$42
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +98 $88 86¢ $84 -$4 10-28 18:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$40 94¢ $-48 -$8 04-29 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $13 88¢ $39 +$26 06-10 11:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27 $15 66¢ $18 +$3 10-25 23:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +21 $9 68¢ $15 +$5 10-24 19:56
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 88¢ $14 +$1 06-24 23:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +95 $30 15¢ $14 -$16 10-28 18:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$13 78¢ $-14 $0 06-24 23:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +15 $11 72¢ $11 $0 10-28 18:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +19 $11 55¢ $10 -$1 09-17 15:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $12 82¢ $9 -$3 10-06 10:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-04 15:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +17 $6 36¢ $6 +$0 10-28 20:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +8 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 10-28 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 12¢ $6 -$31 06-11 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6 $6 96¢ $5 $0 10-28 20:40
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 10-18 12:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 50¢ $4 -$1 10-27 20:24
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +30 $3 12¢ $4 +$0 08-19 14:03
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 68¢ $3 $0 10-15 18:03
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$1 10-06 17:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $14 18¢ $3 -$12 08-28 07:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 05-09 23:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +6 $2 28¢ $2 $0 10-28 20:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No -15 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 10-17 08:11