(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$296
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
149
Trades
5,179
lifetime
Volume
$35.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$328
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-29 12:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
91% 58% -$320
Other
6% 63% -$31
Sports
3% 56% +$42
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +86 $77 86¢ $74 -$4 10-29 13:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$40 96¢ $-49 -$8 04-29 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $13 88¢ $39 +$26 06-10 11:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27 $15 68¢ $19 +$3 10-25 23:18
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 90¢ $15 +$2 06-24 23:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +21 $9 70¢ $15 +$5 10-24 19:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$13 78¢ $-13 $0 06-24 23:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +95 $30 14¢ $13 -$17 10-28 18:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$0 10-29 11:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +15 $11 72¢ $11 $0 10-28 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $12 82¢ $9 -$3 10-06 10:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +17 $6 38¢ $6 +$0 10-28 20:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 10-04 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 12¢ $6 -$31 06-11 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-28 21:39
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 10-18 12:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 55¢ $4 -$1 10-27 20:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +23 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-28 23:22
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +30 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 08-19 14:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 40¢ $4 +$0 10-28 21:23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 10-15 18:03
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 56¢ $3 +$1 10-06 17:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $14 18¢ $2 -$12 08-28 07:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 05-09 23:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +2 $1 82¢ $2 +$1 10-28 23:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +6 $2 29¢ $2 $0 10-28 21:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 23¢ $2 $0 10-29 13:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No -15 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 10-17 08:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-27 20:04