(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7 Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
50.8%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
27
5,494 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$26
$35.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$235
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 11-07 23:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
91% 57% -$263
Other
6% 66% -$28
Sports
3% 56% +$42
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$40 97¢ $-50 -$9 04-29 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $13 92¢ $40 +$27 06-10 11:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$13 99¢ $-17 -$4 06-24 23:35
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 92¢ $15 +$2 06-24 23:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +16 $11 80¢ $12 +$1 11-07 22:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +19 $10 62¢ $12 +$2 11-07 23:08
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 87¢ $10 +$2 11-06 21:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $12 90¢ $10 -$2 11-01 10:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +13 $5 56¢ $7 +$3 11-04 16:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +7 $4 100¢ $7 +$3 11-07 17:12
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +94 $30 8¢ $7 -$23 10-29 17:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $4 83¢ $5 +$1 11-03 17:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 68¢ $5 +$3 10-29 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 8¢ $4 -$32 06-11 17:31
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 77¢ $4 +$0 10-15 18:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +68 $3 5¢ $4 +$1 11-04 16:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +4 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 11-01 21:59
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 10-29 01:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +4 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 11-07 13:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7 $4 44¢ $3 -$1 10-31 11:03
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 -$1 08-19 14:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 11-02 12:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +10 $3 29¢ $3 -$1 11-04 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $14 11¢ $1 -$13 08-28 07:57
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? Yes +4 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-19 15:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1 $2 92¢ $-1 -$3 11-06 02:42
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +16 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-04 05:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 +$0 11-02 17:16