(anonymous) 0xd837a0…0b2af7
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
141
5,222 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$261
$35.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$308
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-30 01:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
91% 58% -$320
Other
6% 63% -$31
Sports
3% 56% +$42
Crypto
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -51 -$40 94¢ $-48 -$7 04-29 02:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +47 $44 85¢ $40 -$4 10-29 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +44 $13 88¢ $39 +$26 06-10 11:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27 $15 68¢ $19 +$3 10-25 23:18
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +17 $13 91¢ $15 +$2 06-24 23:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +21 $9 70¢ $15 +$5 10-24 19:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$13 76¢ $-13 +$0 06-24 23:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +94 $30 14¢ $13 -$17 10-29 17:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +15 $11 76¢ $11 +$0 10-28 18:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $9 -$1 10-30 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $12 82¢ $9 -$3 10-06 10:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $10 87¢ $8 -$2 10-30 01:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +20 $4 32¢ $6 +$3 10-30 01:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 10-04 15:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +17 $6 36¢ $6 +$0 10-28 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +48 $36 12¢ $6 -$31 06-11 17:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 57¢ $5 -$1 10-27 20:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 10-18 12:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes — +6 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 10-29 23:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 10-30 01:28
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +30 $3 14¢ $4 +$1 08-19 14:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 40¢ $4 $0 10-28 21:23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 72¢ $3 $0 10-15 18:03
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +19 $6 16¢ $3 -$2 10-30 01:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 10-06 17:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $14 18¢ $3 -$12 08-28 07:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 $2 33¢ $2 +$1 10-29 13:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 05-09 23:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-28 23:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $0 10-28 21:25