Realized P&L
-$164
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
1,697
Trades
17,576
lifetime
Volume
$385.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$481
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-26 18:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Other
43% 70% -$153
Politics
25% 72% -$2
Crypto
19% 63% -$25
Sports
13% 77% +$12
Tech
0% 77% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -30 -$29 99¢ $-30 -$1 05-25 08:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -31 -$29 98¢ $-30 -$1 09-24 18:36
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -29 -$29 100¢ $-29 $0 05-06 16:12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +29 $26 90¢ $26 $0 07-20 13:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -30 -$28 85¢ $-26 +$2 05-02 23:30
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +26 $24 88¢ $23 -$1 08-21 21:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +22 $21 99¢ $22 +$1 10-21 14:50
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +23 $22 92¢ $21 $0 09-14 23:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +22 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 10-23 13:19
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +23 $21 93¢ $21 +$1 10-24 05:27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +22 $21 96¢ $21 $0 09-21 07:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +22 $21 94¢ $21 +$0 10-11 06:00
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-22 09:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-21 08:08
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 10-10 09:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +23 $21 92¢ $21 $0 10-21 19:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $21 90¢ $21 +$0 10-26 03:15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +21 $21 98¢ $21 +$0 10-21 11:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +21 $21 96¢ $21 +$0 10-26 18:05
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +22 $21 92¢ $20 $0 10-14 21:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-21 21:04
Will Alberta join the US? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$1 06-06 18:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-24 10:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 10-21 14:06
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 09-26 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 09-23 08:08
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 10-16 04:33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-20 18:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-06 12:24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-27 05:12