Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
35.3%
Resolved
36
Trades
9,164
lifetime
Volume
$210.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$254
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-10 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
44% 80% $-4
Politics
27% 29% $-34
Crypto
21% 100% +$1
Sports
8% 85% +$11
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -54 $-53 98¢ $-53 $-0 06-08 09:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +56 $53 93¢ $52 $-0 06-08 08:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$1 06-03 05:47
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +28 $27 96¢ $27 $-1 06-09 20:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +29 $26 92¢ $27 +$0 06-05 16:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +27 $27 97¢ $26 $-0 06-09 17:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-26 95¢ $-26 $-0 06-05 17:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 $-0 06-09 07:07
Will Alberta join the US? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-06 18:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-08 11:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-03 20:33
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $2 96¢ $0 $-2 06-09 03:55
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $-1 96¢ $0 +$1 05-31 21:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-06 12:08