Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
35.3%
Resolved
36
Trades
9,823
lifetime
Volume
$224.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$109
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-05 18:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
43% 80% $-4
Politics
28% 29% $-34
Crypto
20% 100% +$1
Sports
8% 85% +$11
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +55 $52 96¢ $53 +$1 07-03 08:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-26 98¢ $-27 $-1 06-05 17:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $26 95¢ $26 +$0 07-05 22:17
Will Alberta join the US? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-06 18:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $3 100¢ $0 $-3 06-27 14:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $-1 96¢ $0 +$1 07-04 22:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +0 $-1 94¢ $0 +$1 07-01 15:45
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $-1 97¢ $0 +$1 05-31 21:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-27 15:54
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-16 18:15