Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-13 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

64% 80% +$5

Politics

28% 67% -$4

Tech

5% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	09-16 18:00
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	6	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	09-17 13:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	4	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 05:38
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	4	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-17 13:18
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	6	$18	23	23	+0	open	—	10-13 14:30
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	5	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	09-27 10:49
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	10-10 12:52
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	10-13 14:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	10-13 14:27
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	5	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	09-17 21:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:27
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	4	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	09-03 11:25
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	3	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	10-01 02:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	09-30 05:32
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	4	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	10-04 14:32
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-13 14:28
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-09 21:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	09-24 00:59
gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	4	$9	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 16:17
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	3	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	09-26 15:52
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	10-13 14:28
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	10-07 02:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	09-13 17:33
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	09-09 23:48
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	5	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	09-30 00:33
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	3	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 12:24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	4	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	09-24 11:32
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	3	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	10-06 21:21
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-22 09:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	3	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-03 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 14:30:52	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xcf9b6d…
10-13 14:29:20	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xcba7d7…
10-13 14:29:05	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x714db0…
10-13 14:28:50	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xd02c0c…
10-13 14:28:35	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x737255…
10-13 14:28:19	Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x10c387…
10-13 14:27:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x4963a4…
10-13 14:27:34	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x35a636…
10-12 06:38:05	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xa7263f…
10-10 12:52:13	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x75b29d…
10-09 21:30:40	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xab078a…
10-07 11:11:20	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa752fd…
10-07 05:23:54	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe567a2…
10-07 02:57:15	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe5761d…
10-06 21:21:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x681229…
10-06 21:16:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x94f13e…
10-06 12:20:33	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc2344a…
10-06 05:15:22	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe7bda4…
10-05 17:18:46	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb4bed8…
10-05 05:51:46	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x736d31…
10-05 05:15:17	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x54ddc0…
10-04 14:32:59	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x28a353…
10-04 06:38:44	Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9073d2…
10-04 05:31:32	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x0c2f52…
10-04 05:02:16	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x054c16…
10-04 04:26:08	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x6df27d…
10-01 06:27:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x9c6832…
10-01 02:44:39	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x15b77c…
10-01 02:38:53	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf9378a…
09-30 17:15:30	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 31 2026 20260925	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xac4cf4…
09-30 17:02:47	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x81c8dd…
09-30 13:24:53	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x339f3c…
09-30 05:32:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xb068a2…
09-30 00:33:27	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcf0996…
09-29 14:45:35	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfcbb2b…
09-28 16:17:42	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x68a8f6…
09-28 13:07:15	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4fb659…
09-28 13:03:06	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0c40c3…
09-28 12:40:26	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x043be9…
09-28 01:08:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xfb999d…
09-27 19:08:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3ff93c…
09-27 17:05:29	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x35ddb9…
09-27 16:34:51	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e2c08…
09-27 15:03:27	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x34bad5…
09-27 14:58:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xcb9eb8…
09-27 10:49:21	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x2cf8ea…
09-27 00:15:47	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe92378…
09-26 22:20:27	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd280e2…
09-26 19:57:30	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6534a1…
09-26 16:26:03	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x85046e…
09-26 15:52:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x7e983c…
09-26 04:27:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x738140…
09-26 04:16:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x3319e9…
09-26 00:57:35	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x35d2c4…
09-26 00:49:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6deb66…
09-25 19:45:44	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0e1e16…
09-25 15:12:27	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x86ad5b…
09-25 13:46:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x11ed9c…
09-25 13:33:02	will xauusd dip to 4200 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x29fc0b…
09-25 11:55:29	will xauusd dip to 4200 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x73673b…
09-25 10:27:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf91c76…
09-24 13:25:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1543dd…
09-24 11:35:20	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xa172d8…
09-24 11:32:18	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xed327d…
09-24 04:15:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xd65154…
09-24 02:45:35	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x250453…
09-24 00:59:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x97c814…
09-23 19:30:31	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x3497e6…
09-23 12:14:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfbc0f0…
09-23 04:47:28	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb1e855…
09-23 04:11:43	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3fae24…
09-22 14:45:07	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x183f23…
09-22 09:57:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x5d1a84…
09-21 12:09:44	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5e4dec…
09-21 12:06:15	Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd64826…
09-20 12:24:15	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xf304fb…
09-19 05:38:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xb44b0e…
09-19 04:59:45	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9ce093…
09-18 17:56:27	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2702f7…
09-18 16:48:57	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x225e94…
09-17 21:16:36	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x6272a3…
09-17 13:19:58	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x8cf91e…
09-17 13:18:12	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x5245b0…
09-17 11:26:46	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x5216e9…
09-17 05:28:13	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xd5af21…
09-17 04:51:24	Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x08f2bb…
09-16 18:00:09	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xad8852…
09-16 17:46:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcb8c11…
09-16 13:03:24	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfff883…
09-16 11:12:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb602b4…
09-16 10:42:10	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb99215…
09-16 04:30:12	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xbe2c69…
09-15 15:04:57	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x46a35a…
09-15 13:23:49	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xe19dad…
09-15 12:33:04	Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5ae398…
09-15 04:23:39	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x04f357…
09-14 21:36:10	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x4dfcd6…
09-14 17:07:22	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xc9c50a…
09-14 11:37:21	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x79731a…
09-14 10:57:15	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x111151…