Realized P&L
-$16.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$175
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
18,008
lifetime
Volume
$5.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$285
Open exposure
$9.60K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-18 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 69% $-837
Other
29% 20% $-16,972
Politics
2% 50% +$1,167
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 564 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -3,695 $-2,728 78¢ $-2882 $-154 06-09 01:15
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +7,000 $2,260 29¢ $2.0K $-265 07-02 05:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,000 $1,600 46¢ $1.4K $-205 06-18 06:53
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,500 $-1,260 66¢ $-998 +$262 06-03 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $610 98¢ $984 +$374 06-29 12:56
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,000 $570 55¢ $545 $-25 06-11 19:12
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -537 $-451 81¢ $-435 +$16 06-14 10:35
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,966 $216 15¢ $295 +$79 06-02 21:25
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,353 $-72 $-69 +$3 07-18 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $-90 $0 +$90 06-29 12:56