Naive-Leopard 0x082604…070b32
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$16.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$826
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
17,907
lifetime
Volume
$5.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$286
Open exposure
$7.68K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-29 22:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 69% $-837
Other
28% 20% $-16,972
Politics
2% 50% +$1,167
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 1957 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -3,695 $-2,728 72¢ $-2660 +$67 06-09 01:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,000 $1,600 48¢ $1.4K $-175 06-18 06:53
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,500 $-1,260 72¢ $-1080 +$180 06-03 09:00
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2,000 $610 32¢ $650 +$40 06-02 21:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $610 62¢ $615 +$5 06-29 12:56
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,000 $570 52¢ $525 $-45 06-11 19:12
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -537 $-451 82¢ $-440 +$11 06-14 10:35
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,966 $216 14¢ $275 +$59 06-02 21:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +47 $479 21¢ $10 $-469 06-29 05:18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +553 $-1,061 0¢ $1 +$1,063 06-15 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $-90 38¢ $0 +$90 06-29 12:56