Realized P&L
-$16.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$688
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
17,376
lifetime
Volume
$4.99M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$287
Open exposure
$10.2K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-09 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 69% $-837
Other
28% 20% $-16,972
Politics
1% 50% +$1,167
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 1957 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,012 $-3,209 68¢ $-2748 +$461 06-08 22:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -3,695 $-2,728 73¢ $-2697 +$30 06-09 01:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +3,000 $2,550 82¢ $2.5K $-75 06-08 11:24
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,500 $-1,260 74¢ $-1103 +$157 06-03 09:00
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2,000 $610 34¢ $690 +$80 06-02 21:24
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -306 $-257 82¢ $-252 +$5 06-02 08:56
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,966 $216 12¢ $246 +$29 06-02 21:25