Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.17K

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$95

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-12 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

88% 0% -$2,802

Politics

12% 67% -$50

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+10,004	$1,266	1¢	$95	-$1,171	08-06 23:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	3	$2.3K	4,904	0	+4,904	Yes	-$2,300	08-12 12:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	132	$2.2K	15,004	5,000	+10,004	open	—	08-06 23:33
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	13	$577	1,329	1,329	+0	No	-$247	01-28 10:12
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$500	926	0	+926	Yes	-$500	08-05 18:50
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$146	600	600	+0	No	-$2	01-13 15:59
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$105	300	0	+300	Yes	+$195	02-01 11:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$40	100	100	+0	No	+$2	01-11 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:15 UTC	3	$1	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	01-10 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:36:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x4453f9…
08-06 23:33:38	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,117	9¢	$101	0x5dec50…
08-06 21:19:29	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0xd4a392…
08-06 21:00:20	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x02fc5c…
08-06 20:55:14	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa043e5…
08-06 19:56:12	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x92f698…
08-06 19:53:17	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x0e05e9…
08-06 19:53:14	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xcd9b91…
08-06 19:53:12	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xb070aa…
08-06 19:53:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xe403f3…
08-06 19:53:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x958a41…
08-06 19:53:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xf49eaa…
08-06 19:53:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x5e4923…
08-06 19:53:03	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xd19fa2…
08-06 19:53:00	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x3eafab…
08-06 19:52:57	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xd66185…
08-06 19:52:57	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xbefc58…
08-06 18:45:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd84b3e…
08-06 17:50:50	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe163c1…
08-06 17:38:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x9751b5…
08-06 17:05:41	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x52f647…
08-06 17:01:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xe722a3…
08-06 16:35:57	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x6a6b17…
08-06 16:19:51	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xaf15f1…
08-06 16:14:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xb4a775…
08-06 16:11:39	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xb89144…
08-06 16:11:39	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x8b8f56…
08-06 15:16:05	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xbb6933…
08-06 15:09:21	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	9¢	$38	0x587de2…
08-06 14:38:53	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xffe8e7…
08-06 14:21:41	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x54672a…
08-06 13:44:27	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x994c8a…
08-06 11:37:26	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xcf4721…
08-06 11:03:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x03fcc5…
08-06 10:40:26	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,818	44¢	$800	0x69a00c…
08-06 07:10:41	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x769390…
08-06 06:53:14	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x33ada7…
08-06 06:05:00	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x1a64e5…
08-06 05:23:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x4e064e…
08-06 05:16:35	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x294a63…
08-06 04:33:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x03afd2…
08-06 04:12:53	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xaf6fc8…
08-06 04:06:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xc19938…
08-06 04:03:35	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x2bd78b…
08-06 04:00:05	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xe46184…
08-06 03:44:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,667	9¢	$150	0x68d8b7…
08-06 03:44:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xdf0010…
08-06 03:43:53	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	9¢	$50	0xf09f41…
08-06 02:53:23	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	9¢	$50	0x300950…
08-06 02:03:51	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x1e60b0…
08-06 02:01:59	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0xe8794f…
08-05 18:55:00	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x09541a…
08-05 18:50:05	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x2c7458…
08-05 12:48:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,749	9¢	$500	0xf1ff9d…
07-22 02:57:16	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0x38eb6c…
07-22 02:47:49	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x738dab…
07-22 02:21:55	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa11326…
07-22 02:21:52	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0x530d3d…
07-22 02:13:27	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xcf2d70…
07-22 01:51:34	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0xf32aa7…
07-22 00:34:39	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8f3c33…
07-22 00:16:52	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x97fb0b…
07-21 23:14:43	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xf7b244…
07-21 23:11:48	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x25a7df…
07-21 23:11:10	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xc2284d…
07-21 23:10:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xb8c165…
07-21 22:53:18	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7993ba…
07-21 22:52:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0xa051b8…
07-21 22:52:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x8045d6…
07-21 22:52:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf7063f…
07-21 22:52:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb5d603…
07-21 19:09:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa934a2…
07-21 16:36:49	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x2555bd…
07-21 16:36:34	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc4ea13…
07-21 16:25:46	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	10¢	$18	0x82464c…
07-21 16:07:30	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x77a950…
07-21 14:57:09	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0x1b642b…
07-21 14:57:06	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xf1d2c8…
07-21 14:14:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x615471…
07-21 14:14:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9be142…
07-21 14:14:13	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x61a22e…
07-21 14:14:10	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xadc8e6…
07-21 12:45:42	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0a2418…
07-21 06:26:55	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x57e79d…
07-21 01:57:27	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0x846cbd…
07-21 01:51:52	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0xbb0584…
07-21 01:10:33	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xf67de7…
07-21 01:10:30	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x26f6b5…
07-21 00:58:55	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0x6d80df…
07-21 00:19:22	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0xf57dae…
07-21 00:18:22	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x41394f…
07-21 00:11:51	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	10¢	$7	0x75777e…
07-20 20:48:43	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1df302…
07-20 20:35:34	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0xd467b6…
07-20 20:33:18	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x69580e…
07-20 20:28:12	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,104	10¢	$210	0x3d471d…
07-20 17:29:36	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x949d9b…
07-20 14:29:31	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x19bb21…
07-20 14:26:36	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xb2372c…
07-20 14:19:52	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x82fd70…