Realized P&L
+$4.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.53K
Hit rate
41.3%
Resolved
23
Trades
3,205
lifetime
Volume
$411.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$12.0K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
74% 57% $-84
Other
23% 83% +$4,685
Sports
3% 25% $-422
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +7,434 $1,464 62¢ $4.6K +$3,182 05-29 21:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +4,090 $2,881 80¢ $3.3K +$370 06-06 06:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,370 $1,123 84¢ $1.1K +$21 06-09 20:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +8,084 $1,086 12¢ $1.0K $-76 06-08 05:27
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,319 $623 52¢ $692 +$70 06-07 14:11
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +1,415 $439 34¢ $474 +$35 06-05 18:25
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +600 $372 62¢ $375 +$3 06-09 04:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +649 $213 29¢ $188 $-25 06-01 04:20
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +174 $151 88¢ $152 +$1 06-10 03:58
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +532 $69 $19 $-50 06-01 04:25