Tiny-Equality 0x2e617f…8519bd
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.5K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
706
Trades
6,563
lifetime
Volume
$976.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$71.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 23:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Politics
56% 43% -$49,657
Other
35% 54% +$52,298
Sports
9% 42% +$793
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 50% +$207
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16,000 $14,720 92¢ $14.6K -$80 10-25 20:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12,000 $2,729 88¢ $10.6K +$7,891 06-19 03:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15,000 $5,091 44¢ $6.5K +$1,456 09-11 09:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9,911 $5,341 64¢ $6.3K +$952 09-17 02:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5,800 $2,778 94¢ $5.5K +$2,703 09-30 20:59
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +4,098 $1,927 96¢ $3.9K +$1,997 06-20 11:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,878 $2,541 62¢ $3.0K +$508 09-16 16:47
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +2,200 $1,168 96¢ $2.1K +$933 09-09 18:46
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +2,000 $620 92¢ $1.9K +$1,230 09-22 03:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +2,000 $1,280 82¢ $1.6K +$370 08-16 19:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +1,900 $1,016 70¢ $1.3K +$314 08-17 09:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,000 $1,263 15¢ $1.3K +$56 09-22 15:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,400 $448 94¢ $1.3K +$861 09-23 14:38
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,990 $940 59¢ $1.2K +$234 09-23 06:20
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,900 $1,068 57¢ $1.1K +$25 09-22 11:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $490 93¢ $930 +$440 09-22 15:14
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,439 $835 64¢ $923 +$88 09-20 20:49
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +1,000 $720 88¢ $875 +$155 07-20 07:46
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +60,321 $704 1¢ $875 +$170 09-15 20:58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $588 41¢ $820 +$232 09-22 15:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +926 $454 73¢ $676 +$222 09-25 15:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $382 64¢ $635 +$253 09-15 12:58
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $540 57¢ $575 +$35 09-22 10:50
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +3,077 $906 18¢ $569 -$337 09-23 01:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,987 $668 26¢ $517 -$152 09-26 10:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +2,000 $654 24¢ $470 -$184 09-26 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,400 $448 33¢ $462 +$14 09-22 11:14
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $320 41¢ $410 +$90 09-24 21:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,400 $483 28¢ $385 -$98 09-26 10:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $190 32¢ $315 +$125 09-29 00:13