Realized P&L
+$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.2K
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
731
Trades
6,732
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$39.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 05:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
55% 43% -$43,914
Other
37% 54% +$57,730
Sports
8% 42% +$793
Tech
0% 100% +$575
Crypto
0% 50% +$207
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12,000 $2,729 96¢ $11.5K +$8,731 06-19 03:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15,000 $5,091 46¢ $7.0K +$1,876 09-11 09:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +19,990 $5,979 15¢ $2.9K -$3,080 11-12 13:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,000 $1,263 26¢ $2.4K +$1,099 09-22 15:04
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No +2,000 $620 94¢ $1.9K +$1,260 09-22 03:53
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,990 $940 94¢ $1.9K +$936 09-23 06:20
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +2,000 $1,280 94¢ $1.9K +$590 08-16 19:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +1,900 $1,016 90¢ $1.7K +$704 08-17 09:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,548 -$526 98¢ $1.5K +$2,048 10-27 10:11
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,239 $644 95¢ $1.2K +$528 11-11 09:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,000 $238 15¢ $1.0K +$794 06-03 03:21
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +60,321 $704 2¢ $905 +$200 09-15 20:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $382 81¢ $814 +$432 09-15 12:58
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +757 $508 92¢ $700 +$192 10-27 10:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +871 $394 40¢ $353 -$41 11-12 13:36
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +300 $198 92¢ $277 +$79 07-21 15:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +600 $276 42¢ $255 -$21 11-12 08:28
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? No +200 $68 98¢ $197 +$128 11-09 11:17
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25,288 $74 1¢ $164 +$90 09-12 06:41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $257 16¢ $162 -$95 06-02 18:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +3,000 $150 5¢ $136 -$14 11-14 05:28
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? No +300 $71 38¢ $114 +$43 11-09 11:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting? Yes +300 $108 36¢ $110 +$2 11-12 17:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $190 9¢ $88 -$102 09-29 00:13
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +100 $24 50¢ $50 +$26 11-09 12:25
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,000 $198 4¢ $36 -$162 08-19 05:42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,077 -$31 3¢ $-29 +$3 10-27 09:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21? Yes +300 $7 1¢ $4 -$3 11-13 14:39
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$167 88¢ $0 +$167 11-06 09:45
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +0 $200 2¢ $0 -$200 11-07 14:39