Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
35
Trades
13,048
lifetime
Volume
$304.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$289
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-10 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% $-15
Politics
30% 22% $-36
Crypto
21% 100% +$1
Sports
7% 82% +$12
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -82 $-80 99¢ $-81 $-1 06-08 09:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +54 $53 97¢ $53 +$0 06-09 17:51
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -32 $-23 94¢ $-29 $-6 05-28 13:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +29 $27 92¢ $27 +$0 06-05 16:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-27 95¢ $-27 $-0 06-05 17:17
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +28 $26 95¢ $27 +$0 06-09 11:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +28 $26 93¢ $26 $-0 06-08 08:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +12 $12 95¢ $11 $-1 06-09 03:55
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 06-08 21:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-03 20:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-09 19:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-08 10:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-06 12:08