Realized P&L
-$142
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
1,836
Trades
22,474
lifetime
Volume
$512.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$569
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-26 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 276 days
Categories
Other
42% 68% -$11
Politics
27% 68% -$132
Crypto
20% 60% -$81
Sports
11% 72% +$79
Tech
0% 57% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -32 -$31 99¢ $-32 $0 09-27 23:36
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -31 -$30 98¢ $-30 +$0 08-30 19:49
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -30 -$30 100¢ $-30 $0 05-06 16:12
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -32 -$29 96¢ $-30 -$1 07-14 12:18
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -31 -$30 98¢ $-30 +$0 05-28 20:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No -30 -$28 94¢ $-29 $0 07-03 11:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -31 -$29 85¢ $-26 +$3 05-02 23:30
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +26 $24 98¢ $25 +$1 10-14 18:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +26 $24 98¢ $25 +$1 10-21 10:52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +25 $24 99¢ $24 +$1 10-21 10:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$0 10-23 13:19
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 $0 09-21 07:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +25 $24 94¢ $24 +$0 10-11 06:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +26 $24 92¢ $24 $0 10-21 19:29
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +24 $24 98¢ $24 +$0 10-19 02:10
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No +27 $26 90¢ $24 -$2 06-30 04:57
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +24 $23 98¢ $24 +$1 10-10 09:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 $0 10-26 18:05
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +25 $24 93¢ $24 $0 10-20 17:20
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +25 $24 92¢ $24 $0 10-20 20:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +26 $24 90¢ $24 $0 10-26 03:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +25 $22 94¢ $23 +$1 10-21 21:04
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 10-08 11:11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 +$0 08-21 19:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-05 08:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 10-18 07:11
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-19 20:51
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-06 14:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-11 10:20
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-29 21:52