Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
22.1%
Resolved
35
Trades
13,805
lifetime
Volume
$320.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$132
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-06 05:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% $-15
Politics
30% 22% $-36
Crypto
21% 100% +$1
Sports
7% 82% +$12
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-27 98¢ $-28 $-1 06-05 17:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $26 95¢ $26 +$0 07-05 22:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 +$0 07-03 08:11
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +27 $25 93¢ $25 +$0 07-06 03:46
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 07-06 07:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 07-01 15:45
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-07 16:23