Realized P&L
+$21.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.66K
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
269
Trades
6,337
lifetime
Volume
$5.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$813
Open exposure
$111.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 14:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Politics
60% 76% +$13,860
Other
35% 67% +$5,840
Sports
2% 100% +$1,834
Crypto
2% 29% +$308
Tech
0% 100% +$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 885 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +58,747 $58,026 100¢ $58.5K +$428 10-29 14:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +16,428 $10,835 99¢ $16.3K +$5,437 10-23 18:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10,495 $9,813 94¢ $9.9K +$105 10-25 15:44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,560 $6,533 94¢ $7.1K +$536 10-08 05:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5,555 $5,216 97¢ $5.4K +$155 10-21 16:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,550 $4,384 82¢ $4.6K +$195 10-24 23:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,222 $1,789 97¢ $2.2K +$367 10-08 16:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,999 $2,299 70¢ $2.1K -$185 09-24 02:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,672 $1,825 40¢ $1.5K -$341 10-12 15:05
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +992 $974 100¢ $991 +$17 10-28 00:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,560 $506 13¢ $703 +$197 08-14 05:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,555 $478 12¢ $692 +$214 08-29 03:10
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +13,252 $1,931 5¢ $663 -$1,268 10-23 19:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,560 $562 9¢ $525 -$36 10-14 05:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +16,428 $7,995 1¢ $156 -$7,839 10-25 17:04
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50,917 $44 0¢ $76 +$33 10-15 18:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,222 $18 3¢ $67 +$49 10-26 19:04
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,820 $29 2¢ $40 +$11 10-27 09:01
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 06-26 11:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 -$84 58¢ $6 +$89 10-27 20:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 -$346 97¢ $5 +$351 09-13 18:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 10-12 17:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $104 42¢ $4 -$100 10-28 15:48
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 -$167 60¢ $3 +$170 09-17 14:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $90 16¢ $0 -$90 08-26 16:17
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +10 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 14:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +0 -$3 92¢ $0 +$3 05-09 22:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 08-15 17:06
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $190 68¢ $0 -$190 07-07 02:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$41 26¢ $0 +$41 10-02 12:30