Bubbly-Jiffy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

305

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$655

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-03 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 40% +$16

Sports

18% 22% -$44

Other

18% 11% -$42

Politics

14% 16% -$33

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6	$1	12¢	$1	$0	08-25 15:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on august 19 2026	3	$62	469	464	+5	No	+$58	08-19 15:42
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$26	197	197	+0	open	—	08-19 17:14
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	3	$12	85	77	+8	No	+$8	02-04 17:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$11	1,553	161	+1,392	Yes	+$1	05-31 11:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	05-15 23:51
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	3	$9	75	43	+33	No	+$5	02-11 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:40 UTC	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	08-25 12:43
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	5	$8	206	180	+26	No	+$2	01-22 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 00:25 UTC	5	$6	5	4	+1	Down	+$0	03-11 00:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$6	2,067	2,068	-2	No	$0	01-31 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:10 UTC	5	$6	6	5	+1	Down	$0	03-15 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	3	$6	12	4	+8	Down	$0	08-20 12:33
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	5	$6	1,583	1,583	+0	No	$0	02-06 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:25 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	08-21 12:29
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$5	7	5	+2	Thunder	-$1	05-27 00:57
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$5	7	5	+2	Cavaliers	-$1	05-18 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$5	81	49	+32	No	-$1	05-25 19:49
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$5	13	13	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-08 02:47
bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	08-20 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:55 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:35 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:55 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	03-10 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:05 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	08-20 10:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	01-30 00:47
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$4	11	11	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-12 03:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$4	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	01-12 17:01
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$4	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	05-24 14:24
nvda close above 195 on february 12 2026	2	$4	17	17	+0	No	+$2	02-12 14:31
Thunder vs. Spurs	4	$4	4	4	+0	Spurs	$0	05-25 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:55 UTC	3	$4	7	2	+5	Up	$0	03-09 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 22:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4b1fcc…
09-26 02:20:17	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x391fca…
09-26 02:19:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	0¢	$1	0xff9e7b…
09-26 02:13:59	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xe60869…
09-16 18:06:06	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5022c2…
09-15 23:52:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x98a2a6…
09-15 18:19:36	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x198f23…
09-15 18:14:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x43e65a…
09-09 12:34:31	Will LAPTOP launch on another chain?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6e75d4…
09-06 15:47:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xbeb079…
09-03 15:09:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf35237…
09-03 14:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdc9f8d…
09-03 00:16:15	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x848477…
09-02 20:00:52	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	847	0¢	$1	0x5e0db4…
09-02 20:00:45	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	881	0¢	$1	0x7ad4e9…
09-01 01:09:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x4ed883…
08-30 23:58:21	will ethereum dip to 2400 in august 2026 from august 23	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb1f5fd…
08-30 20:02:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf5c4d3…
08-29 01:04:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5c2fdc…
08-29 01:04:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5a46ad…
08-28 20:22:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 90 and 100 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	876	0¢	$1	0x20c422…
08-28 20:21:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 100 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0x22779e…
08-28 20:13:09	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc9ec24…
08-28 20:09:55	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcad9d2…
08-28 20:09:34	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xfaf46a…
08-27 01:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c9042…
08-26 18:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b76ac…
08-26 14:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe68a49…
08-26 00:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x04be38…
08-25 20:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fcb0c…
08-25 17:10:49	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4162a…
08-25 15:50:31	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x10e722…
08-25 15:47:36	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x33a44e…
08-25 14:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d0e9a…
08-25 13:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xedf308…
08-25 12:43:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x650b7c…
08-25 12:40:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x01bbb2…
08-25 12:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x018044…
08-25 11:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xab36eb…
08-25 02:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8ffcbb…
08-25 01:37:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x8fb737…
08-25 01:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3846ab…
08-25 01:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xecd8be…
08-25 01:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x70eeba…
08-25 01:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x972694…
08-24 16:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54e88c…
08-24 14:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f76e…
08-24 14:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x98d5f0…
08-24 12:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3e62a8…
08-24 12:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8533ae…
08-23 21:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8f063f…
08-23 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe7b5f8…
08-23 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x78b28f…
08-23 19:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x121078…
08-23 18:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x58725d…
08-23 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf2c225…
08-23 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x460205…
08-22 14:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5cc786…
08-22 06:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x271c0d…
08-22 06:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x00d59a…
08-22 06:51:33	solana above 100 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x72d5a5…
08-21 23:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x12b9ef…
08-21 23:37:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6e60c8…
08-21 13:59:57	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xed4434…
08-21 12:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4c78ee…
08-21 12:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9bed20…
08-21 12:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb9d9b3…
08-21 10:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b0b12…
08-21 01:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8fe7bd…
08-21 01:32:24	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x63dad6…
08-20 18:09:09	will ethereum dip to 2200 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x14fc5c…
08-20 17:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11c367…
08-20 17:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31bf28…
08-20 17:26:34	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x43bd3a…
08-20 14:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x44f221…
08-20 14:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x28d629…
08-20 12:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2d993a…
08-20 12:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x1e4676…
08-20 12:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0550c3…
08-20 10:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x307d9c…
08-20 10:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x21fe08…
08-20 10:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x85b439…
08-20 10:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x42eada…
08-20 10:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa8b0a2…
08-20 09:46:13	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb88631…
08-20 09:45:58	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x45cd96…
08-19 21:54:07	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb08c12…
08-19 21:53:07	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbfea40…
08-19 21:51:36	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x9bfdae…
08-19 21:11:45	will ethereum reach 2250 on august 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1ee11b…
08-19 21:09:37	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 20?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6748dd…
08-19 21:07:34	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x6417ae…
08-19 21:06:21	ethereum above 2200 on august 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf34160…
08-19 21:00:13	will ethereum reach 2250 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x023a4d…
08-19 20:55:40	ethereum above 2200 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc7381d…
08-19 20:39:52	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x12b45b…
08-19 19:43:03	ethereum above 2100 on august 19 2026 4pm et	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5dc1d4…
08-19 19:41:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 20?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x95b06b…
08-19 17:14:04	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	6¢	$12	0x044808…
08-19 16:54:21	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	7¢	$14	0x329257…