Bubbly-Jiffy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$359

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

33% — —

Other

23% — —

Politics

22% — —

Sports

21% 40% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		+143	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-16 11:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+7	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-18 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	3	$12	85	77	+8	open	—	02-04 17:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 23:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$10	1,494	161	+1,333	open	—	05-31 11:42
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	3	$9	75	43	+33	open	—	02-11 11:39
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	5	$8	206	180	+26	open	—	01-22 13:41
btc updown 5m 1773188700	5	$6	5	4	+1	open	—	03-11 00:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$6	2,067	2,068	-2	open	—	01-31 22:25
btc updown 5m 1773576600	5	$6	6	5	+1	open	—	03-15 12:12
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	5	$6	1,583	1,583	+0	open	—	02-06 11:07
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$5	7	5	+2	open	—	05-27 00:57
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$5	7	5	+2	open	—	05-18 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$5	81	49	+32	open	—	05-25 19:49
Lakers vs. Thunder	4	$5	13	13	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-08 02:47
btc updown 5m 1772589300	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 02:00
btc updown 5m 1773243300	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-11 15:38
btc updown 5m 1773107700	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 02:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	01-30 00:47
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$4	11	11	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-12 03:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$4	35	35	+0	open	—	01-12 17:01
nvda close above 195 on february 12 2026	2	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	02-12 14:31
Thunder vs. Spurs	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-25 01:34
btc updown 5m 1773017700	3	$4	7	2	+5	open	—	03-09 01:00
btc updown 5m 1773102300	3	$3	18	2	+17	open	—	03-10 00:27
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	3	$3	136	77	+59	open	—	02-23 19:08
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	3	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-31 10:40
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get 80 million or more views on day 1	3	$3	1,049	0	+1,049	open	—	02-10 02:32
will trump and netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by february 13 2026	3	$3	163	0	+163	open	—	02-13 22:13
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	01-29 14:11
btc updown 5m 1772030400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-25 14:46
btc updown 5m 1772653500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-04 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 18:32:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x633a7a…
06-18 18:32:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xffc3e1…
06-18 16:19:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x105fbe…
06-18 15:49:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf4aaaa…
06-18 12:57:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33d30f…
06-18 02:12:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x61cf07…
06-16 11:51:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb9c52c…
06-16 11:51:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9accde…
06-15 17:14:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe7aaf7…
06-15 16:04:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x936532…
06-14 12:36:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x43fd23…
06-14 12:36:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 14 2026 20260612000748609	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdd607f…
06-12 16:55:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0x516bd2…
06-05 03:31:19	will bitcoin reach 72k on june 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x047bf3…
06-03 20:00:52	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x67fe51…
05-31 11:42:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x824283…
05-28 23:56:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xade8c3…
05-28 16:38:35	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ae9ff…
05-28 16:36:55	Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x663960…
05-27 13:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2a40e6…
05-27 13:27:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x1e3047…
05-27 07:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf8ec10…
05-27 00:57:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7021f5…
05-27 00:57:04	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x0da159…
05-26 23:15:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x540ffa…
05-26 14:48:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x19d7ba…
05-26 14:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x630ab6…
05-26 14:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x066086…
05-26 14:01:27	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcdcaa6…
05-25 23:55:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xbcab0c…
05-25 23:37:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	161	4¢	$6	0xf313c4…
05-25 19:49:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x97ee28…
05-25 19:48:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xa2f576…
05-25 11:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x24d9ff…
05-25 11:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3c6e6d…
05-25 01:34:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x25779b…
05-25 01:34:00	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xf536d0…
05-25 01:24:07	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x93d339…
05-24 23:46:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9a8e74…
05-24 23:45:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x665f87…
05-24 15:14:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x6f96c3…
05-24 15:11:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x251c32…
05-24 14:21:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x0ed319…
05-23 20:09:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc51495…
05-19 03:07:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2be796…
05-19 01:21:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc59ae…
05-18 00:24:37	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xcd1d5d…
05-18 00:05:11	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x230f8b…
05-18 00:05:01	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeee5ce…
05-16 01:57:32	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x784d61…
05-15 23:54:06	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa26d1b…
05-15 23:54:01	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb95c09…
05-15 23:52:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xda62dd…
05-15 23:51:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xd528c3…
05-15 18:49:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xca36b4…
05-14 17:45:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa759b5…
05-14 17:13:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xabd310…
05-13 17:46:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x3d4592…
05-13 17:45:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7cfab4…
05-12 15:13:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9224a6…
05-12 03:08:35	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xf0d329…
05-12 00:49:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x65eb19…
05-10 01:58:33	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1e302f…
05-08 02:47:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd160a0…
05-08 02:45:15	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7a8a1f…
05-08 02:40:05	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xc4fe96…
05-08 02:34:24	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe0a78e…
05-07 01:51:43	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x856adb…
05-06 00:21:18	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3f088b…
04-27 00:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xefc2b2…
04-26 22:10:26	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0xc7ca37…
04-09 13:56:45	btc updown 5m 1775742900	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdf4089…
04-03 01:21:47	nba lal okc 2026 04 02	Lakers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e138b…
04-02 13:03:25	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x638fbc…
03-16 00:36:17	wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	Dominican Rep.	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe3de9…
03-15 20:23:37	btc updown 5m 1773606000	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x572175…
03-15 15:57:17	btc updown 5m 1773590100	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x3a5314…
03-15 15:56:07	btc updown 5m 1773590100	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafff31…
03-15 12:12:41	btc updown 5m 1773576600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6e0ccd…
03-15 12:12:21	btc updown 5m 1773576600	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1030bc…
03-15 12:11:39	btc updown 5m 1773576600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x541ffa…
03-15 12:11:27	btc updown 5m 1773576600	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xcb10f2…
03-15 12:10:35	btc updown 5m 1773576600	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd5548…
03-15 10:44:25	btc updown 5m 1773571200	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x99da81…
03-15 10:43:57	btc updown 5m 1773571200	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcbea1c…
03-14 23:28:47	btc updown 5m 1773530700	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3c1f8f…
03-14 23:27:39	btc updown 5m 1773530700	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x369030…
03-14 18:27:53	btc updown 5m 1773512700	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8ecfac…
03-14 18:27:29	btc updown 5m 1773512700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x89b35b…
03-14 18:04:41	btc updown 5m 1773511200	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x743ca7…
03-14 18:04:05	btc updown 5m 1773511200	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9e463d…
03-14 01:44:17	btc updown 5m 1773452400	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4c3e24…
03-14 01:43:57	btc updown 5m 1773452400	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x870f54…
03-14 00:35:17	btc updown 5m 1773448200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd2be4…
03-14 00:33:35	btc updown 5m 1773448200	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5043c3…
03-11 23:56:39	btc updown 5m 1773273300	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd3b52a…
03-11 15:38:27	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x136b67…
03-11 15:37:35	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x85f4ce…
03-11 15:37:15	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x64651b…
03-11 15:36:53	btc updown 5m 1773243300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb6090c…