Rare-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

475

Trades

1,605

lifetime

Volume

$59.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$62

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-28 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

91% 65% +$2,224

Sports

8% 54% +$325

Tech

0% 100% +$15

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+500	$50	12¢	$62	+$12	10-26 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	11	$1.4K	913	1,107	-194	No	+$42	05-28 14:17
will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	4	$1.0K	554	554	+0	No	+$27	07-26 23:39
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 27?	3	$961	496	496	+0	Down	-$9	05-27 15:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	3	$848	900	0	+900	Yes	+$52	06-14 13:39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	11	$843	532	532	+0	No	+$124	08-31 17:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	6	$824	454	454	+0	open	—	10-24 02:43
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	31	$823	1,332	1,332	+0	No	+$35	07-22 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	14	$759	486	486	+1	No	+$22	04-30 19:16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$724	2,769	2,769	+0	No	+$5	07-14 20:12
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$722	437	437	+0	No	-$23	04-01 05:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	29	$705	611	623	-13	Yes	-$4	03-28 08:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	6	$699	408	386	+22	No	-$29	05-24 15:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?	3	$651	715	0	+715	Yes	+$64	05-15 11:39
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	5	$649	698	0	+698	Up	+$49	04-30 19:14
wti up or down on june 11 2026	7	$647	621	58	+562	Down	+$18	06-11 17:52
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 27?	1	$630	639	0	+639	Up	+$9	05-27 17:28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	5	$607	591	91	+500	Yes	+$9	06-17 02:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	5	$567	540	92	+447	open	—	10-28 17:25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$566	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$181	07-09 12:50
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$564	572	0	+572	Up	+$8	05-06 17:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$535	1,936	1,235	+700	No	-$173	09-16 17:50
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	7	$533	351	311	+40	No	+$44	07-30 03:48
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5	3	$516	400	400	+0	Under	-$196	06-15 17:25
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	17	$512	265	265	+0	Yes	+$3	04-29 08:08
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	25	$482	394	463	-68	No	-$6	03-26 20:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	10	$478	379	316	+63	Yes	+$55	05-27 13:20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$471	17,500	17,500	+0	No	+$86	07-01 16:29
spy up or down on june 12 2026	4	$464	515	0	+515	Up	+$51	06-12 17:53
xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	2	$443	448	0	+448	Down	+$5	06-10 17:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	15	$442	1,004	1,077	-73	Yes	-$39	04-17 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:25:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x3f887a…
10-26 06:42:14	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	10¢	$18	0xa19ece…
10-26 06:41:33	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xff79e3…
10-26 06:41:33	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x406878…
10-26 06:41:33	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0a0774…
10-26 06:40:48	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xf7aeb7…
10-26 06:40:48	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6576a2…
10-26 05:40:57	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x144bc9…
10-26 05:40:56	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x75ed77…
10-26 05:40:56	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3e8279…
10-26 05:24:45	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0xcae779…
10-24 13:46:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x83bea4…
10-24 02:43:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a831d…
10-23 22:07:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	SELL	453	98¢	$444	0x8c9ff8…
10-23 18:29:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x33f16c…
10-14 13:17:30	will xauusd dip to 4000 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0xe2da8e…
10-14 13:04:05	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x633ac5…
10-14 12:47:32	will xauusd dip to 4000 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x22f42a…
10-14 12:47:14	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9f4618…
10-14 12:44:30	will xauusd dip to 4050 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x46bf6f…
10-14 12:41:32	will xauusd dip to 4050 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6da9d5…
10-14 12:41:24	will xauusd dip to 4050 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	97	56¢	$54	0x2672bf…
10-14 12:27:26	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc94003…
10-12 15:51:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x2ad68d…
10-12 15:51:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x71454b…
10-12 12:29:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$28	0x7d09c3…
10-12 12:02:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x035551…
10-09 11:47:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x621f08…
10-09 11:43:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xfecdec…
10-09 00:37:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$135	0x1604dd…
10-09 00:31:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcc2c61…
10-08 17:24:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x7d45f8…
10-08 16:07:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0xf708e3…
10-08 16:05:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x67e6e4…
10-08 10:39:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0x9c5f0a…
10-08 06:23:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x62ed01…
10-08 06:22:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xda4ea8…
10-08 06:01:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	263	95¢	$250	0x650dcf…
10-08 05:59:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe53fd6…
10-08 05:46:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	79	80¢	$63	0x8f424f…
10-08 05:20:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5604ee…
10-08 03:31:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf6bee8…
10-08 02:09:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x6a5dbd…
10-07 18:31:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x2f1ef2…
10-07 17:46:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	BUY	119	78¢	$93	0x3bf6ab…
10-07 17:22:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4bb238…
10-07 17:01:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x731543…
10-07 17:01:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x02976d…
10-07 14:30:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xfe7198…
10-07 12:59:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x89c0ae…
10-07 12:55:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x892bf6…
10-07 12:54:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x22fccb…
10-06 06:19:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x20cc8b…
10-05 15:26:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6e7a4f…
10-05 15:21:22	xauusd up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdd2ee2…
10-02 17:08:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x846c3e…
10-02 13:41:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xb522d7…
10-02 13:34:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x5c750e…
10-02 11:42:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x5587a4…
10-02 11:31:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfa8fa8…
10-02 06:04:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5eefae…
10-02 05:12:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x588181…
10-02 05:10:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xd73f90…
10-02 04:24:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x627eb5…
10-02 02:58:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4a67cd…
10-02 02:57:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xa2b435…
10-02 02:57:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcc3c4f…
10-02 02:56:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x75de01…
10-01 08:42:12	will xauusd dip to 4100 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xff6fb7…
10-01 04:29:06	will xauusd dip to 4100 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0xc23c36…
09-30 12:33:57	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x2c3e24…
09-30 07:07:50	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x8e4514…
09-29 18:25:47	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	No	SELL	156	88¢	$137	0x48ba85…
09-29 18:21:12	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x8504f4…
09-29 17:19:11	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x41798f…
09-29 17:03:26	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	67	88¢	$58	0x373ca2…
09-29 16:55:47	will xauusd reach 4250 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xd22b05…
09-29 13:27:06	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x0a1730…
09-29 12:57:33	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0c7a66…
09-29 11:39:26	will xauusd reach 4300 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	74	85¢	$63	0x31eda4…
09-29 11:10:44	will xauusd reach 4300 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x1b15f6…
09-27 06:54:50	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1e0f30…
09-27 05:43:45	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa4b25d…
09-26 21:58:51	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5f14e4…
09-26 12:41:27	will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	No	BUY	311	90¢	$280	0xf03470…
09-26 07:26:14	will xauusd reach 4500 in september 2026 from september 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfc9c51…
09-24 06:41:56	will xagusd reach 66 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xf0cc04…
09-22 08:33:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8f323c…
09-22 08:27:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd8318b…
09-22 08:24:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0cef8e…
09-22 07:09:58	will meta reach 760 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x536727…
09-22 05:52:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0x5925ce…
09-22 05:52:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x0260dc…
09-21 06:41:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	No	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0x1416e5…
09-20 16:01:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc15310…
09-20 13:32:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf8ce82…
09-18 13:52:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x75a274…
09-18 06:25:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0x8f51bf…
09-17 15:21:49	Will Japan win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x59bb58…
09-17 12:26:51	Will Japan win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb2b9ca…