Rare-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$310

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

824

lifetime

Volume

$33.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-30 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

98% 67% +$310

Sports

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	11	$1.4K	913	1,107	-194	open	—	05-28 14:17
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 27?	3	$961	496	496	+0	open	—	05-27 15:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	14	$759	486	486	+1	open	—	04-30 19:16
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$722	437	437	+0	open	—	04-01 05:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	29	$705	611	623	-13	open	—	03-28 08:01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	6	$699	408	386	+22	open	—	05-24 15:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?	3	$651	715	0	+715	open	—	05-15 11:39
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?	5	$649	698	0	+698	open	—	04-30 19:14
wti up or down on june 11 2026	7	$647	621	58	+562	open	—	06-11 17:52
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 27?	1	$630	639	0	+639	open	—	05-27 17:28
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$564	572	0	+572	Up	+$8	05-06 17:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	25	$482	394	463	-68	open	—	03-26 20:26
spy up or down on june 12 2026	4	$464	515	0	+515	open	—	06-12 17:53
xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	2	$443	448	0	+448	open	—	06-10 17:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	15	$442	1,004	1,077	-73	open	—	04-17 13:52
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	7	$439	449	93	+356	Down	$-81	05-05 18:00
xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	4	$414	419	0	+419	open	—	06-17 19:22
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	7	$396	372	372	+0	open	—	05-23 22:21
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	9	$395	452	223	+229	open	—	06-06 06:25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$395	404	0	+404	Down	+$9	05-06 14:11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$380	412	0	+412	open	—	05-15 15:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	3	$380	394	0	+394	open	—	05-28 04:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	11	$380	273	223	+50	Yes	+$18	05-12 15:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	9	$378	240	316	-76	open	—	05-27 13:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$374	488	0	+488	open	—	05-23 20:30
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	11	$370	328	328	+0	open	—	03-26 09:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?	4	$361	199	199	+0	open	—	05-26 16:15
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	2	$356	400	0	+400	open	—	06-15 07:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	6	$347	511	0	+511	Yes	+$164	05-11 12:25
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	4	$346	373	0	+373	open	—	05-20 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:32:47	rklb up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x8775bc…
06-30 17:35:40	tsla up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xb9ed56…
06-30 14:25:55	xagusd up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4120d0…
06-30 14:15:41	spy up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6289d0…
06-29 18:40:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x71fe58…
06-29 14:09:05	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xde7391…
06-29 13:34:28	will wti reach 70 in july 2026 839	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xdf0607…
06-29 13:33:35	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x105d10…
06-28 17:26:13	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x435290…
06-28 15:22:22	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc96f89…
06-28 09:57:10	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	103	46¢	$48	0xe30782…
06-28 09:49:52	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x764f81…
06-28 09:43:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc18569…
06-28 09:39:46	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcb47ed…
06-28 09:38:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x86f23f…
06-28 09:38:55	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x788b84…
06-28 09:36:25	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0688f0…
06-28 09:35:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7256ed…
06-28 09:35:37	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x81ecfd…
06-28 09:34:29	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb29ac6…
06-28 09:34:22	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdba56d…
06-28 09:32:41	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2a3fb…
06-28 09:32:25	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3ddd43…
06-28 09:32:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe50fe1…
06-28 09:30:11	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x90cf92…
06-28 09:28:56	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xab487e…
06-28 09:26:10	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x818d70…
06-28 09:25:34	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37fad1…
06-28 09:25:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa98104…
06-28 09:25:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1df97b…
06-28 09:25:17	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x379ed6…
06-28 09:25:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	36	46¢	$17	0x341f0f…
06-28 03:02:19	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x44fc02…
06-26 19:46:43	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x4e2936…
06-26 19:37:17	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xe38731…
06-26 19:32:10	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xd25178…
06-26 19:08:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	79	58¢	$46	0x4320a2…
06-26 17:57:19	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf91133…
06-26 17:54:19	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x9b420c…
06-26 16:05:20	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xab39d1…
06-26 16:05:08	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x59f150…
06-26 15:18:04	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa89502…
06-26 14:38:58	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa00438…
06-26 14:38:52	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1009ac…
06-26 14:38:43	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c99c2…
06-26 14:16:43	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5941d6…
06-26 14:12:06	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x534042…
06-26 14:06:10	rklb up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xbb740c…
06-26 13:57:58	msft up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb55194…
06-26 13:55:06	rklb up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x186b4e…
06-26 13:52:01	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf3918e…
06-26 13:51:55	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcdf690…
06-26 13:48:18	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	62	43¢	$27	0x489f35…
06-26 07:21:56	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xb60230…
06-26 07:06:58	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xc61d7f…
06-26 07:04:55	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	188	38¢	$71	0x134678…
06-25 15:31:32	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x17bc72…
06-25 15:28:07	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x2318e4…
06-25 15:28:05	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	76	32¢	$24	0xbfec46…
06-25 15:28:05	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x916c25…
06-25 15:27:35	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	101	32¢	$32	0xdf8080…
06-25 15:27:35	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xae2513…
06-25 15:27:35	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x3cbfc4…
06-25 15:26:52	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x10d29f…
06-25 15:26:50	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xdf2dd2…
06-25 14:34:02	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe74352…
06-25 14:34:01	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x83a8d6…
06-25 14:31:55	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbc9b16…
06-25 14:05:43	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1df15e…
06-25 14:00:49	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0f1b70…
06-25 13:58:22	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3a1167…
06-25 13:54:01	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	70	39¢	$27	0x52ff01…
06-25 13:51:29	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf3a852…
06-25 13:51:29	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x31621c…
06-25 13:50:22	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x285ab6…
06-25 13:49:49	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6664fd…
06-25 13:49:25	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x2af758…
06-25 13:48:41	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x11f789…
06-25 13:48:31	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x803c24…
06-25 13:43:17	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xa55248…
06-25 13:42:46	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xdeaaed…
06-25 13:23:05	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4d7a32…
06-25 12:54:26	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc233b6…
06-25 12:52:19	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x085c0d…
06-25 12:32:55	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb141d4…
06-25 12:31:37	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x873a55…
06-25 11:31:02	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x0634d4…
06-25 11:24:22	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xf60094…
06-25 11:22:20	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xfdcb9b…
06-24 15:25:10	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x3852ec…
06-24 15:24:25	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x286c09…
06-24 15:20:35	rklb up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x55aa3b…
06-24 12:54:58	xauusd up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x5ec20e…
06-24 12:25:32	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xc3cfd5…
06-24 11:16:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	97	28¢	$27	0x41ac3b…
06-24 06:13:16	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xe3f34c…
06-24 06:10:08	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0x6950d1…
06-23 17:20:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xa1ed73…
06-23 17:20:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x3e1b77…
06-23 17:20:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x0670d0…