Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$177

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

$323

1 position

First seen

2026-09-13

last 09-30 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

92% 0% -$4,228

Crypto

8% 25% -$186

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+33,976	$500	1¢	$323	-$177	09-24 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$1.8K	13,325	0	+13,325	No	-$1,817	09-16 02:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	6,452	0	+6,452	Yes	-$1,253	09-14 21:41
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$702	4,492	0	+4,492	Yes	-$702	09-14 21:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	1	$500	33,976	0	+33,976	open	—	09-24 19:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$455	91,026	0	+91,026	No	-$455	09-30 23:21
bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 9am et	3	$134	98	98	+0	Down	+$34	09-25 13:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:00 UTC	1	$100	625	0	+625	Down	-$100	09-24 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:15 UTC	2	$50	227	0	+227	Up	-$50	09-24 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	1	$25	85	0	+85	Up	-$25	09-25 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:50 UTC	1	$25	278	0	+278	Down	-$25	09-30 22:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:55 UTC	1	$25	331	0	+331	Down	-$25	09-29 00:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$25	97	0	+97	Down	-$25	09-29 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5PM ET	4	$20	50	0	+50	Down	+$30	09-24 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 23:21:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,026	0¢	$55	0x9e4b4f…
09-30 22:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xaa7549…
09-30 22:50:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80,000	0¢	$400	0xd4b143…
09-29 01:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x97bb68…
09-29 00:58:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	331	8¢	$25	0xee95b8…
09-25 14:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x5e5915…
09-25 13:31:00	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	98	86¢	$84	0x32780b…
09-25 13:10:47	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2b011e…
09-25 13:10:45	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf2b1b5…
09-24 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb72188…
09-24 21:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x33125d…
09-24 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe393b4…
09-24 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x84e9d4…
09-24 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x1be5a0…
09-24 21:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xf129f8…
09-24 21:14:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x209c54…
09-24 19:08:20	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33,976	1¢	$500	0x77aa46…
09-16 02:06:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,552	12¢	$906	0x880086…
09-14 23:59:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdb6f58…
09-14 21:42:15	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,114	12¢	$250	0xa6a5af…
09-14 21:41:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,308	13¢	$300	0x8844e7…
09-14 21:41:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	12¢	$400	0xe2c40e…
09-13 18:45:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x940ba2…
09-13 17:42:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,144	23¢	$953	0xe2f0f0…
09-13 00:44:57	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,378	19¢	$452	0xe6f8e2…
09-13 00:30:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,381	21¢	$500	0x365488…