Villainous-Volatility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$745

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,237

lifetime

Volume

$286.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-11 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$745

Other

25% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	372	$29.8K	23,494	17,527	+5,967	open	—	05-30 13:10
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	99	$17.3K	9,636	9,636	+0	open	—	06-22 09:28
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	185	$13.4K	10,958	10,958	+0	open	—	06-21 17:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	108	$11.9K	9,109	9,109	+0	open	—	07-03 23:35
Nothing Ever Happens: May	398	$11.2K	23,007	21,415	+1,593	open	—	06-02 16:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	177	$9.8K	10,980	11,080	-100	open	—	06-21 17:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	50	$7.9K	4,758	4,758	+0	open	—	07-23 14:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	26	$7.1K	4,135	4,135	+0	open	—	08-02 09:16
Fed rate hike in 2026?	98	$6.8K	9,333	2,479	+6,855	open	—	08-12 15:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	111	$6.6K	9,076	9,076	+0	open	—	07-08 08:51
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	199	$6.3K	5,654	5,123	+531	open	—	06-20 22:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	174	$6.2K	5,234	4,488	+746	open	—	06-14 21:23
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	209	$6.0K	5,503	6,949	-1,446	open	—	06-20 22:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	100	$5.9K	5,142	5,126	+16	open	—	04-30 03:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	63	$5.8K	3,966	3,966	+0	open	—	06-08 09:11
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	101	$5.2K	9,118	2,474	+6,644	open	—	08-12 15:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	48	$5.0K	3,229	3,229	+0	open	—	08-05 00:09
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	36	$4.6K	5,260	0	+5,260	open	—	07-21 02:00
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	16	$4.0K	2,303	2,303	+0	open	—	07-13 14:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	177	$4.0K	5,431	4,767	+664	open	—	06-14 21:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	43	$3.7K	2,543	2,374	+169	open	—	08-03 05:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	23	$3.4K	3,777	1,043	+2,734	open	—	05-25 22:56
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	44	$2.9K	4,161	20	+4,141	open	—	06-15 02:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$2.8K	1,797	1,755	+42	open	—	08-09 22:38
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	50	$2.8K	1,832	1,742	+90	open	—	05-27 06:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	40	$2.7K	3,236	3,236	+0	No	+$634	04-30 03:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	59	$2.4K	6,006	5,607	+399	open	—	07-25 07:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	26	$2.4K	2,048	783	+1,265	open	—	08-11 11:22
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	98	$2.4K	9,321	6,036	+3,286	open	—	06-22 06:01
iran closes its airspace by june 22	69	$2.3K	4,692	825	+3,867	open	—	06-07 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 15:20:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	54¢	$113	0x2b53af…
08-12 15:20:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	209	56¢	$117	0x0cd8d6…
08-11 14:44:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xa33752…
08-11 14:44:57	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x8fb7c4…
08-11 12:01:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x703416…
08-11 12:01:52	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x2e0eb6…
08-11 11:48:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0xefa05f…
08-11 11:48:18	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0xe3a413…
08-11 11:22:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb73784…
08-11 11:21:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x310e6f…
08-11 11:21:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x156c33…
08-11 11:21:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xc0a5e6…
08-11 11:21:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x90d357…
08-11 11:21:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xeed0d4…
08-11 11:21:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	404	95¢	$384	0xd74f14…
08-10 15:50:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x1ac222…
08-10 14:38:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	380	93¢	$353	0xb3388f…
08-10 14:38:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	375	7¢	$26	0x29c3d5…
08-10 14:38:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb92ba9…
08-10 14:38:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x97669d…
08-10 14:38:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x16229d…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xff9a32…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xde72e1…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	404	93¢	$376	0xb1e88c…
08-10 07:40:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	198	45¢	$89	0xfb5f24…
08-10 06:53:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xbc6af0…
08-10 06:53:52	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x548f11…
08-10 06:53:45	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbc4ff4…
08-10 06:53:43	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x41eb3f…
08-10 06:53:06	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x194ba8…
08-10 04:06:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x389a90…
08-10 02:49:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xb0ca50…
08-10 02:49:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x44eacb…
08-10 02:49:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x3f9ff8…
08-10 02:49:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xca0fe8…
08-10 02:49:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c3cf7…
08-10 02:49:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b40fb…
08-10 02:49:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x02a89e…
08-09 22:38:33	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	361	19¢	$69	0xaf2792…
08-09 22:38:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	361	84¢	$303	0x3656bd…
08-09 22:38:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	263	84¢	$221	0x6cd98c…
08-09 22:38:22	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	263	19¢	$50	0x487fe6…
08-09 13:00:10	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xe50e5b…
08-09 13:00:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xa94d06…
08-09 12:40:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	482	83¢	$400	0xcd4af9…
08-09 12:40:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	223	20¢	$45	0xc13fff…
08-09 12:40:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	481	20¢	$96	0x9953a9…
08-09 12:40:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	223	83¢	$185	0x08152d…
08-09 09:59:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0xa47402…
08-09 09:59:28	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x5e3027…
08-08 15:43:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x71ca4f…
08-08 15:43:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0xc5f168…
08-08 15:30:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	223	91¢	$203	0xdeea91…
08-08 15:30:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	223	15¢	$33	0x0a6557…
08-08 12:00:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	277	15¢	$42	0xd0a7a9…
08-08 12:00:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	277	91¢	$252	0x9ff1ce…
08-08 12:00:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0xdf8f07…
08-08 12:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	223	15¢	$33	0xdbc095…
08-08 12:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x6874c1…
08-08 12:00:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	223	91¢	$203	0x1a6c66…
08-08 03:09:31	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	97	20¢	$19	0x223bc1…
08-08 03:09:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	97	83¢	$81	0x1b75d1…
08-07 21:36:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	141	32¢	$45	0x7eb738…
08-07 16:21:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0xfb65a0…
08-07 16:21:42	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x0cd8ce…
08-07 16:21:37	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	306	51¢	$156	0x58bed2…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0xf7cc8c…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xc4b635…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x9b42cc…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	50¢	$84	0x962fa7…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x8c5d20…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x68cfeb…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x3a4177…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$151	0x23b5e6…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x163997…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	167	51¢	$85	0x0ea0e9…
08-07 16:21:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	312	50¢	$156	0x0ce50f…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0xb74d13…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xa155be…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x6d9e6e…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x50f58c…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x3c15fc…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	50¢	$138	0x3a8cd7…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	278	51¢	$141	0x3076d3…
08-07 16:21:34	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x0b66e4…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0xf665e0…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xec2841…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x7d916f…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	282	50¢	$141	0x790bd4…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x7832e5…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x737c82…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	51¢	$140	0x709b0b…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x6dd8ce…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x3482d6…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0x236f22…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x04365f…
08-07 16:21:31	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xb2a0af…
08-07 16:21:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xd41a9b…
08-07 16:21:09	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc04b6b…
08-07 16:21:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	51¢	$72	0xe5537b…