Realized P&L
+$745
Unrealized P&L
+$527
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,044
lifetime
Volume
$205.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$1.69K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-02 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
76% 100% +$745
Other
20%
Tech
4%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,446 $-2,063 100¢ $-1445 +$618 06-20 22:59
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +99 $37 58¢ $58 +$21 06-05 08:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +142 $78 40¢ $58 $-21 06-05 08:51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +72 $27 78¢ $55 +$29 06-10 16:05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +56 $45 90¢ $50 +$5 06-10 16:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +72 $67 22¢ $16 $-51 06-26 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,263 $76 $3 $-73 06-29 14:17