Villainous-Volatility 0xc91b7d…7793bd
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.76K
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
278
Trades
9,845
lifetime
Volume
$514.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$21.2K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 10-31 21:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
65% 54% +$8,662
Other
28% 47% +$910
Tech
7% 65% +$1,465
Sports
0% 40% -$52
Crypto
0% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +4,128 $2,288 74¢ $3.1K +$787 10-26 17:28
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +3,997 $2,244 76¢ $3.1K +$814 10-31 08:21
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,134 $1,955 54¢ $2.7K +$792 10-31 07:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,971 $2,981 64¢ $2.5K -$459 10-28 20:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,142 $2,978 44¢ $2.2K -$741 10-31 07:50
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +4,060 $745 38¢ $1.5K +$777 10-28 20:16
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +2,069 $1,504 62¢ $1.3K -$211 10-28 20:16
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,227 $2,759 26¢ $1.1K -$1,681 10-31 08:21
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +4,121 $1,648 24¢ $968 -$680 10-26 17:28
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -972 -$855 80¢ $-777 +$77 10-09 18:44
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +2,081 $496 36¢ $760 +$263 10-28 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +607 $521 86¢ $519 -$3 10-30 18:51
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -889 -$288 20¢ $-173 +$115 10-09 18:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +191 $181 82¢ $158 -$23 10-29 17:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +641 $95 17¢ $109 +$14 10-30 18:51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +72 $27 97¢ $70 +$43 06-10 16:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +75 -$1,670 86¢ $64 +$1,734 10-16 18:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +190 -$311 19¢ $36 +$347 10-29 17:49
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +333 $125 6¢ $18 -$107 10-31 21:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +155 $35 4¢ $6 -$29 06-10 16:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +72 $67 3¢ $2 -$65 06-26 04:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +84 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 06-09 20:00