(anonymous) 0x05f6cb…5a25a1
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$318.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.83K
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
1,715
lifetime
Volume
$1.76M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.02K
Open exposure
$381.7K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 10-27 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
75% 49% +$245,761
Politics
17% 25% -$13,458
Sports
8% 80% +$86,529
Tech
0% 0% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200,000 $166,970 82¢ $163.0K -$3,970 10-15 20:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +113,058 $49,691 94¢ $105.7K +$56,019 09-27 22:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +42,609 $30,013 72¢ $30.9K +$879 10-20 12:55
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +42,940 $30,879 70¢ $30.3K -$606 10-24 20:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +187,258 $57,781 6¢ $11.2K -$46,546 10-23 13:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9,513 $8,344 94¢ $8.9K +$599 10-22 13:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -7,494 -$6,520 88¢ $-6557 -$37 10-17 09:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7,695 $3,001 59¢ $4.5K +$1,539 09-02 11:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,812 $3,392 94¢ $4.5K +$1,107 09-02 11:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,830 $4,006 76¢ $3.7K -$311 10-10 17:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2,842 $2,416 96¢ $2.7K +$321 09-06 09:41
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,733 $2,539 70¢ $2.6K +$93 10-17 09:05
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +2,623 $1,946 98¢ $2.6K +$625 09-24 08:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +32,514 -$1,711 4¢ $1.2K +$2,914 10-27 02:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10,753 $2,151 8¢ $806 -$1,344 10-16 06:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -177,744 $317 0¢ $-622 -$939 10-23 13:45
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +22,497 $2,462 3¢ $619 -$1,843 10-19 11:45
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +6,041 $544 10¢ $574 +$30 09-10 12:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes -177,744 -$575 0¢ $-178 +$397 10-23 13:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,524 $808 6¢ $164 -$644 09-16 18:09
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +38,975 $117 0¢ $156 +$39 10-25 20:58
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +9,326 $560 1¢ $61 -$499 09-10 12:59
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +70 $6 22¢ $16 +$9 09-24 06:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10 $8 72¢ $7 -$1 10-17 13:58
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,175 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 09-15 15:18
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +6 $1 24¢ $1 +$1 09-24 07:29