Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$435

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,219

lifetime

Volume

$486.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$399

Open exposure

$5.57K

11 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-22 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

87% 57% -$3,160

Sports

8% 17% -$31,596

Politics

4% 100% +$168

Crypto

0% 50% +$1,429

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	+5,180	$4,454	78¢	$4.1K	-$388	10-22 07:42
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	+5,180	$653	22¢	$1.1K	+$460	10-15 12:18
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	+385	$361	97¢	$375	+$14	09-15 18:06
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+385	$266	3¢	$10	-$256	10-22 07:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	-$109	94¢	$1	+$110	10-16 04:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1	-$59	94¢	$1	+$59	10-22 07:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+0	-$1	68¢	$0	+$1	10-15 12:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+0	$49	32¢	$0	-$49	10-22 07:43
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	+1	-$440	12¢	$0	+$440	10-04 19:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+1	$156	6¢	$0	-$156	10-22 09:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	-$199	6¢	$0	+$199	10-16 17:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	105	$82.0K	67,974	57,725	+10,249	Yes	+$6,137	09-16 17:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	53	$79.2K	47,925	47,925	+0	open	—	09-15 22:40
cs2 fal2 lvg 2026 08 27 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$33.3K	52,001	0	+52,001	Lynn Vision	-$33,281	08-27 17:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	51	$32.5K	41,338	41,337	+1	open	—	10-22 07:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	62	$29.5K	38,193	38,192	+1	open	—	10-22 09:10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-26?	1	$21.5K	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	+$3,500	08-26 18:18
mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	1	$18.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	Milwaukee Brewers	-$18,600	10-14 21:45
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	27	$13.4K	12,708	8,598	+4,110	Yes	+$2,085	09-14 17:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$12.1K	11,300	11,300	+0	open	—	10-22 07:43
Celtic FC leading at halftime?	5	$12.0K	7,396	7,396	+0	Yes	+$2,776	09-02 22:08
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?	15	$10.1K	24,989	0	+24,989	Yes	+$14,938	10-14 20:19
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	5	$8.6K	12,870	0	+12,870	Tottenham Hotspur FC	+$4,247	08-26 18:21
another fed rate hike in 2026	13	$8.6K	5,248	5,248	+0	open	—	10-22 09:11
Fed rate hike in 2026?	18	$8.0K	9,695	6,208	+3,487	Yes	+$106	09-11 12:40
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	3	$7.8K	9,453	1,258	+8,196	Alliance	-$5,746	09-08 09:58
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	8	$7.5K	11,870	1,510	+10,359	open	—	10-22 07:42
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	38	$6.8K	16,893	16,892	+1	open	—	10-04 19:57
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	15	$6.7K	16,071	606	+15,465	Yes	-$5,959	09-16 12:10
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	21	$6.7K	14,786	0	+14,786	Tottenham Hotspur FC	+$8,133	08-26 18:21
cs2 furia bb3 2026 10 14 game2	1	$6.0K	11,491	0	+11,491	FURIA	+$5,516	10-14 20:35
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	2	$5.7K	10,933	0	+10,933	Luton Town FC	-$5,744	08-27 17:30
Lions vs. Bills	1	$5.7K	8,179	0	+8,179	Bills	+$2,454	09-17 21:50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$5.6K	14,635	0	+14,635	Colorado Rockies	-$5,586	09-02 22:09
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?	4	$5.4K	11,994	0	+11,994	No	-$5,397	09-05 17:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$4.6K	5,263	5,263	+0	No	+$168	09-10 12:26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$4.5K	11,283	0	+11,283	Yes	+$6,766	10-20 18:56
val c9 bst1 2026 08 19	3	$4.1K	8,309	0	+8,309	BESTIA	-$4,071	08-19 21:55
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox	3	$4.1K	6,258	6,258	+0	Seattle Mariners	-$3,831	09-02 22:08
49ers vs. Rams	1	$4.0K	6,127	0	+6,127	49ers	-$3,982	09-10 21:31
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	71	$3.8K	4,610	1,948	+2,661	Yes	+$932	09-11 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:11:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x8a3acf…
10-22 09:10:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,293	11¢	$362	0xf28fca…
10-22 08:11:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,293	12¢	$395	0xcf3ebd…
10-22 07:43:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x2f2664…
10-22 07:43:17	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x12123d…
10-22 07:43:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x203439…
10-22 07:43:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0xe553fe…
10-22 07:43:03	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,119	2¢	$26	0xa6987e…
10-22 07:42:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5,332	12¢	$640	0x729708…
10-22 07:42:53	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,228	79¢	$970	0x6326a2…
10-22 07:42:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,215	88¢	$1,069	0x701354…
10-21 19:04:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x979131…
10-21 19:04:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x0429c6…
10-21 19:04:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	962	41¢	$394	0x2c9f4f…
10-21 18:58:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,895	13¢	$636	0xf245d9…
10-21 18:56:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	340	13¢	$44	0xcf4ce4…
10-21 18:52:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xc7ff2c…
10-21 17:57:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	103	88¢	$91	0x5137b8…
10-21 17:54:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x2307e3…
10-21 17:54:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xaa8a89…
10-21 15:42:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	176	22¢	$39	0xc062e5…
10-21 15:42:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	236	22¢	$52	0x9bb875…
10-21 15:42:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	22¢	$13	0x883321…
10-21 15:42:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	58	22¢	$13	0x40bfe3…
10-21 15:42:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	237	22¢	$52	0xefaa9b…
10-21 15:42:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	126	22¢	$28	0xae89a1…
10-21 15:39:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xd7dfcc…
10-21 15:39:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	900	79¢	$711	0x288742…
10-21 13:55:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	39¢	$390	0x8988b5…
10-21 09:08:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0x2cc440…
10-21 06:17:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8,281	88¢	$7,287	0x7f1c2c…
10-20 18:56:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	383	41¢	$157	0xc97662…
10-20 18:13:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10,900	40¢	$4,360	0x524deb…
10-20 12:43:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0xb8d255…
10-20 12:42:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x664b77…
10-19 13:17:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,678	13¢	$218	0xdd7c0b…
10-19 13:17:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	87¢	$8,700	0xdd339d…
10-19 13:17:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,379	13¢	$179	0xa075a2…
10-19 13:17:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	136	13¢	$18	0x0944b6…
10-18 22:23:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	368	13¢	$48	0xcc4756…
10-18 22:23:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,825	13¢	$367	0x4fbb47…
10-16 20:32:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0x3b86bd…
10-16 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	306	35¢	$107	0xdeff9c…
10-16 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0xb944c6…
10-16 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	412	35¢	$144	0x71e0bd…
10-16 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	58	35¢	$20	0x4bc040…
10-16 20:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	178	35¢	$62	0x3a1990…
10-16 17:52:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,014	13¢	$522	0xd99422…
10-16 17:52:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	13¢	$78	0x7f95f4…
10-16 17:47:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xf4797d…
10-16 17:27:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	130	13¢	$17	0x608848…
10-16 17:25:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0xe6a873…
10-16 17:25:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xc4262f…
10-16 17:25:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x76ab69…
10-16 17:25:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	269	13¢	$35	0x8edd4e…
10-16 17:25:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	447	13¢	$58	0xa69445…
10-16 17:25:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	349	13¢	$45	0x9315b5…
10-16 17:25:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	374	13¢	$49	0x172a71…
10-16 17:24:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	784	13¢	$102	0xe00c1b…
10-16 17:24:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	13¢	$17	0xc74dd1…
10-16 17:24:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x9bf925…
10-16 15:39:15	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	263	79¢	$208	0xab7a20…
10-16 14:56:15	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x3f5514…
10-16 12:46:58	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	78¢	$780	0xf05ab0…
10-16 11:37:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xaa824d…
10-16 07:49:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,785	13¢	$362	0x216d86…
10-16 07:15:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0xf9cba9…
10-16 06:00:43	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x832bbd…
10-16 05:32:40	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x6f4460…
10-16 04:27:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,619	84¢	$2,200	0x6df9ba…
10-16 01:05:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xa9e4de…
10-15 23:23:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	72¢	$16	0xfbcbb7…
10-15 22:35:33	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	130	86¢	$112	0x13466a…
10-15 18:45:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xedae25…
10-15 17:45:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	72¢	$27	0x11cabb…
10-15 17:45:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	72¢	$180	0x29bcdd…
10-15 17:45:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xc7ab25…
10-15 17:44:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x7decc9…
10-15 17:44:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	72¢	$180	0x7f45b4…
10-15 17:43:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,015	72¢	$731	0xc0e3da…
10-15 17:43:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x76bd1c…
10-15 17:43:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	205	72¢	$148	0x6daf24…
10-15 17:43:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x213b94…
10-15 17:42:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0xae0c91…
10-15 17:42:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2e87ec…
10-15 17:42:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xea1b23…
10-15 17:42:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x284a7c…
10-15 17:42:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xd5aa69…
10-15 17:42:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	72¢	$120	0x7d3923…
10-15 17:40:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x4b0942…
10-15 17:40:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x5568c4…
10-15 17:40:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7004da…
10-15 17:40:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	72¢	$179	0xb7f304…
10-15 17:40:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xf51e9b…
10-15 17:40:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xdaf82d…
10-15 17:39:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0xce40f9…
10-15 17:39:07	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x6d553e…
10-15 17:24:46	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	85	85¢	$72	0x662bdc…
10-15 17:06:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,851	72¢	$5,653	0x014419…
10-15 16:55:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	72¢	$720	0xd3824d…