Realized P&L
-$516
Unrealized P&L
+$1.49K
Hit rate
15.0%
Resolved
63
Trades
4,002
lifetime
Volume
$128.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$50.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
51% 25% -$44
Other
36% 10% -$261
Sports
10% 53% -$211
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10,093 $9,693 97¢ $9.8K +$142 09-09 06:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,108 $6,526 89¢ $6.4K -$176 09-07 18:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,435 $5,196 95¢ $5.2K -$19 10-28 10:26
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,607 $3,487 98¢ $3.6K +$63 09-07 21:39
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,323 $3,183 98¢ $3.3K +$78 09-08 19:56
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,799 $2,730 98¢ $2.8K +$23 10-28 00:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,972 $2,518 82¢ $2.4K -$96 07-09 16:19
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,240 $2,122 96¢ $2.1K +$26 10-26 15:27
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,232 $2,119 95¢ $2.1K +$1 08-31 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,484 $227 88¢ $1.3K +$1,086 06-28 06:33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,567 $1,427 80¢ $1.3K -$166 08-20 00:27
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +995 $963 97¢ $961 -$2 10-27 04:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +894 $831 96¢ $859 +$28 07-10 12:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,125 $723 69¢ $776 +$53 07-17 21:40
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +876 $779 88¢ $775 -$4 10-27 19:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,108 $595 11¢ $757 +$162 09-09 05:03
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +764 $745 98¢ $745 $0 10-27 20:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +685 $539 96¢ $658 +$119 07-14 06:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +659 $628 97¢ $638 +$10 08-25 00:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +586 $528 94¢ $554 +$25 08-06 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,972 $463 18¢ $550 +$87 07-09 15:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +577 $531 92¢ $528 -$3 10-22 09:09
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +542 $436 78¢ $423 -$13 07-25 12:49
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +357 $342 98¢ $349 +$7 06-21 09:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,125 $489 31¢ $349 -$140 07-17 14:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +342 $163 97¢ $332 +$168 06-14 07:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,567 $146 20¢ $306 +$160 08-20 14:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +10,093 $400 3¢ $257 -$142 09-06 11:02
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +5,157 $233 5¢ $245 +$12 10-28 06:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +239 $233 97¢ $233 $0 08-21 10:36