Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$675

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-10

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

47% 63% -$192

Crypto

44% 46% -$61

Politics

9% 33% -$23

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+11	$2	19¢	$2	+$0	10-27 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	1	$150	484	0	+484	Yes	-$150	09-12 08:45
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$48	369	0	+369	Yes	-$48	09-16 09:25
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	8	$42	252	14	+238	Up	-$28	09-17 15:41
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	2	$41	117	117	+0	Yes	+$1	09-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$27	64	64	+0	Up	-$3	09-18 10:07
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	1	$23	118	0	+118	Yes	-$23	09-10 20:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	4	$22	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	09-18 05:21
will bitcoin reach 77k on september 16 2026	2	$21	29	29	+0	No	+$1	09-16 20:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	09-14 09:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	4	$21	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	09-25 20:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	10-23 23:42
bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	5	$15	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	09-26 20:42
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 1am et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	09-26 05:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$13	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	09-16 17:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	3	$11	23	18	+5	Up	-$4	09-25 19:38
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	1	$11	46	0	+46	open	—	09-14 12:38
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	2	$11	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	09-17 18:13
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC	2	$11	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	09-16 22:17
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	09-13 17:08
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 7am et	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	09-26 11:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	3	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	10-26 23:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	10-02 07:12
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5	1	$7	9	0	+9	Over	+$2	10-26 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	4	$6	102	0	+102	Up	-$6	09-21 09:10
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	2	$6	11	11	+0	Down	-$4	09-26 19:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-24 18:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	09-26 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	09-25 19:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 12:00 UTC	1	$5	45	0	+45	Up	-$5	09-21 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:15 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	09-25 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:00:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5d34d4…
10-26 23:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xc5ab3e…
10-26 18:58:51	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xd7f6d2…
10-26 18:48:02	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc66de1…
10-26 18:27:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x52af01…
10-25 23:36:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc37f46…
10-25 20:59:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe98b85…
10-25 20:45:39	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9da7fb…
10-25 20:37:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1cbbca…
10-25 20:06:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x1dfacf…
10-25 20:02:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbb4529…
10-25 20:02:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb1dd13…
10-24 11:27:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76d814…
10-23 23:43:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3b9cc0…
10-23 23:42:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x72045e…
10-23 17:47:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x756dae…
10-22 21:42:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x4e36ea…
10-22 17:44:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xceb0cb…
10-22 17:10:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x088a6e…
10-21 19:47:08	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x04044f…
10-21 19:24:08	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8c6521…
10-21 19:11:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xad621b…
10-21 18:40:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf0e97d…
10-21 05:26:39	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe42467…
10-21 05:18:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc4f370…
10-20 14:08:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x67387e…
10-20 05:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x9ca0d0…
10-20 00:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x74f566…
10-16 20:10:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f0051…
10-12 19:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x72f3d0…
10-11 20:51:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xfdd041…
10-11 20:51:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x621f14…
10-06 19:28:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e9a82…
10-04 19:39:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7f2fd3…
10-04 19:35:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x3daba1…
10-02 07:14:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x80e65e…
10-02 07:12:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x789c3b…
10-01 18:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x875410…
10-01 15:19:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x477630…
10-01 09:35:26	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xee0d7a…
09-30 18:00:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe42837…
09-26 23:17:32	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x25a933…
09-26 21:04:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x11ee7a…
09-26 20:42:54	bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x5c3fc0…
09-26 20:05:20	bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd13d51…
09-26 20:05:00	bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xd28f0c…
09-26 19:07:21	bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x81258e…
09-26 19:06:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xa5a867…
09-26 19:03:09	bitcoin up or down on september 27 2026	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdaff8c…
09-26 18:02:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7838fc…
09-26 17:14:41	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x02045a…
09-26 11:58:42	bitcoin up or down on september 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xde2c38…
09-26 11:57:12	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x546b38…
09-26 11:20:41	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x73f77e…
09-26 05:54:56	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x0bfec0…
09-26 05:47:50	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcf63f9…
09-26 05:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x39e3db…
09-25 20:55:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xdb8543…
09-25 20:51:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x29789e…
09-25 20:43:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	61¢	$6	0x5e6c5f…
09-25 20:22:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1ed8c3…
09-25 19:38:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ae474…
09-25 19:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd16725…
09-25 19:19:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdf2c3e…
09-25 19:17:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xcce503…
09-25 18:15:56	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x76da28…
09-24 18:54:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x83bcd8…
09-24 18:53:08	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 25?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x76c7e1…
09-22 22:18:41	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20b866…
09-22 22:17:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7f93e9…
09-22 22:16:37	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6dfa22…
09-21 14:39:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xfb13ce…
09-21 09:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0d6fad…
09-21 08:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa3ebc8…
09-21 08:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa70175…
09-21 08:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa75eec…
09-18 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0x74b04a…
09-18 09:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa906e7…
09-18 09:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb794aa…
09-18 09:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x28d157…
09-18 09:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x606ede…
09-18 05:21:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x7b25d1…
09-18 05:12:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x335843…
09-18 05:05:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xd8ce35…
09-18 04:58:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-18 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c0c05…
09-17 18:13:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xa70521…
09-17 17:55:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xccccca…
09-17 15:41:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xed7ee1…
09-17 15:39:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x397d5d…
09-17 15:36:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdef264…
09-17 15:36:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x990e47…
09-17 15:35:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x617b3c…
09-17 15:35:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa0507c…
09-17 15:18:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xe0e0cb…
09-17 15:12:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x03bb3a…
09-16 22:17:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0xbebeeb…
09-16 22:04:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x855b7b…
09-16 20:07:43	will bitcoin reach 77k on september 16 2026	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xdf983f…
09-16 19:47:19	will bitcoin reach 77k on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa56b94…
09-16 19:35:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	117	18¢	$21	0x754fc6…