Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
27.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,805
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$626
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-20 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% $-0
Politics
21% 50% $-1
Sports
13% 0% $-4
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +221 $116 68¢ $149 +$33 06-22 08:29
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +97 $61 76¢ $74 +$12 06-21 10:24
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +84 $59 86¢ $72 +$13 06-04 10:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +104 $49 70¢ $72 +$23 06-26 08:22
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +95 $46 64¢ $61 +$15 07-11 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -46 $-26 99¢ $-46 $-20 06-12 07:44
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -44 $-40 88¢ $-38 +$2 06-20 09:44
UK Recession in 2026? No -40 $-34 82¢ $-33 +$0 07-20 08:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -47 $-30 66¢ $-31 $-1 06-28 23:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +78 $19 34¢ $27 +$8 07-11 11:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-13 23¢ $-10 +$3 06-11 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 80¢ $-8 $-1 06-04 10:04
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 18¢ $-3 $-2 07-11 12:00
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -8 $12 $-1 $-13 07-02 08:13