Complete-Osmosis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,826

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-10 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% $-0

Politics

22% 50% $-1

Sports

13% 0% $-4

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$1.2K	605	604	+1	open	—	04-30 08:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	15	$580	345	341	+4	open	—	04-27 10:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	18	$391	457	457	+0	open	—	03-18 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	9	$366	240	236	+4	open	—	04-27 10:30
will partido popular win 32 35 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	21	$307	203	203	+0	open	—	03-15 23:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	11	$250	279	279	+0	open	—	06-14 20:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	5	$241	135	134	+1	open	—	04-17 11:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$207	231	28	+203	open	—	03-22 06:52
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$183	469	469	+0	open	—	03-22 06:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$172	154	154	+0	open	—	03-15 09:34
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	2	$160	93	93	+0	open	—	03-07 20:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$160	88	88	+0	open	—	05-22 16:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$159	122	122	+0	open	—	03-30 15:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$140	0	143	-143	open	—	06-15 07:45
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$133	82	82	+0	open	—	03-09 16:37
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	2	$130	84	84	+0	open	—	07-24 07:52
iran full airspace closure by august 15	5	$128	86	86	+0	open	—	08-10 08:11
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	3	$121	90	90	+0	open	—	07-19 12:57
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	5	$120	77	77	+0	open	—	03-07 22:02
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	8	$120	182	0	+182	open	—	03-15 23:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	8	$116	221	0	+221	open	—	06-22 08:29
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$113	71	71	+0	open	—	07-26 09:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$113	0	116	-116	open	—	06-06 10:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$112	0	116	-116	open	—	06-09 12:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$104	100	100	-0	open	—	06-18 09:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$104	0	106	-106	open	—	06-04 13:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$102	60	60	+0	open	—	06-15 08:17
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	8	$102	139	0	+139	open	—	03-15 23:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$101	266	266	+0	open	—	04-04 23:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$101	124	124	+0	open	—	03-12 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:48:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x5bec9b…
08-10 08:34:04	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0xfabf90…
08-10 08:18:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xe2983d…
08-10 08:12:12	will trump say six seven in august 20260728220215929	No	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x8cf558…
08-10 08:11:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	86	95¢	$81	0x1fdf85…
08-10 08:09:13	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xb177d4…
08-10 08:01:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xe36dda…
07-28 09:42:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf0dfeb…
07-27 10:58:31	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9c0a46…
07-27 10:57:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x0ea245…
07-27 10:50:09	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5706a0…
07-27 10:49:43	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xef29b3…
07-27 10:48:46	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdb98a9…
07-27 10:48:39	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x838da4…
07-26 09:30:42	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x3bb6cf…
07-26 09:27:24	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	71	95¢	$68	0x1fff92…
07-24 08:02:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x8311d8…
07-24 07:54:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xab75ab…
07-24 07:54:39	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xcde310…
07-24 07:54:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x850644…
07-24 07:52:27	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	84	84¢	$71	0x228ad6…
07-20 08:57:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x21b654…
07-20 08:56:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x235a80…
07-20 08:55:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1f4f9c…
07-20 08:54:45	UK Recession in 2026?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x8944ea…
07-19 22:55:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x21eba7…
07-19 22:54:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x51a1eb…
07-19 22:54:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x5a8f65…
07-19 12:59:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x49f796…
07-19 12:58:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0xee039b…
07-19 12:58:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x459b77…
07-19 12:57:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xf34a05…
07-19 12:57:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	90	64¢	$57	0xba0a36…
07-17 08:56:10	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x029f70…
07-17 08:53:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4624b4…
07-17 08:52:51	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x77bbe5…
07-17 08:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	22¢	$16	0x588bc3…
07-15 08:47:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0f3608…
07-15 08:47:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x49d3c1…
07-14 16:16:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xb21c30…
07-12 22:27:35	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x123690…
07-12 22:26:44	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	82	16¢	$13	0x3a42b5…
07-12 08:09:08	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xbe1134…
07-11 12:02:10	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x06b695…
07-11 12:01:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xdc14c3…
07-11 12:00:44	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0x649104…
07-11 11:48:14	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xae3662…
07-11 11:45:04	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543764	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x81d459…
07-11 11:41:28	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1fb47c…
07-11 11:35:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x26c003…
07-11 11:35:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x4647d2…
07-11 11:24:40	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x92f55c…
07-11 11:24:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xfca2db…
07-09 08:11:35	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21	36¢	$7	0x7c4ac6…
07-08 08:51:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x630697…
07-08 08:47:26	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	SELL	238	8¢	$19	0x2cbb7f…
07-02 08:13:58	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	164	7¢	$12	0xbcd89b…
07-01 07:50:44	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf5b8ef…
07-01 07:47:43	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8b606a…
07-01 07:46:38	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xb32b75…
07-01 07:45:31	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe73bc6…
07-01 07:44:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf5724a…
06-30 12:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xe31e06…
06-29 08:03:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xf4c978…
06-29 08:01:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x515f18…
06-28 23:18:32	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	47	65¢	$30	0xce6c81…
06-27 22:01:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	154	7¢	$11	0x8bb99e…
06-27 21:58:52	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd38a38…
06-27 11:30:58	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ad977…
06-27 11:29:16	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xfccb8d…
06-27 11:28:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xc329c4…
06-26 08:22:49	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x70a6c2…
06-26 08:21:56	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0xbce169…
06-26 08:21:49	Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0xe2159a…
06-24 19:13:14	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x796265…
06-24 19:12:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	27	47¢	$12	0x810b04…
06-24 19:11:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xb9d770…
06-24 08:23:56	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x40157b…
06-22 22:38:28	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x716381…
06-22 08:36:38	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbfcaf1…
06-22 08:35:01	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x5da024…
06-22 08:29:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe11d06…
06-22 08:28:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xfebc09…
06-22 08:27:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0x59bea2…
06-22 08:24:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x068308…
06-22 08:22:20	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x4584f7…
06-21 10:24:22	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x8ffb6e…
06-21 10:21:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc8a80c…
06-21 10:01:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x6ea64b…
06-21 10:01:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0x2ad948…
06-20 09:46:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xf399b4…
06-20 09:46:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x07f826…
06-20 09:44:59	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x6bb75d…
06-20 09:44:14	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	44	92¢	$40	0xc126dd…
06-19 07:35:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x325b89…
06-19 07:35:26	will oman be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522905	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0xffecf4…
06-18 16:59:32	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0xea0994…
06-18 16:58:31	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x815c3c…
06-18 09:25:53	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	81	14¢	$11	0x135e24…
06-18 09:23:04	will oman be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522905	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xe1da3e…