Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
27.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,764
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$559
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-30 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% $-0
Politics
20% 50% $-1
Sports
14% 0% $-4
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +221 $116 58¢ $129 +$13 06-22 08:29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +84 $59 88¢ $74 +$15 06-04 10:21
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +97 $61 71¢ $69 +$8 06-21 10:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +104 $49 56¢ $59 +$10 06-26 08:22
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +80 $38 58¢ $47 +$8 06-22 08:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -44 $-40 77¢ $-34 +$6 06-20 09:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -46 $-26 70¢ $-32 $-6 06-12 07:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -47 $-30 66¢ $-31 $-0 06-28 23:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $25 44¢ $26 +$1 06-14 21:01
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +71 $17 24¢ $17 +$0 07-01 07:50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +156 $24 11¢ $16 $-7 06-17 09:05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-13 28¢ $-12 +$1 06-11 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 80¢ $-8 $-1 06-04 10:04
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +17 $8 32¢ $5 $-3 07-01 07:47